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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 9, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 63% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Williams–Rask–McGinnStaal–Teravainen–AhoSkinner–Lindholm–RyanKruger–Nordstrom–JoorisSlavin–van RiemsdykPesce–HanifinFaulk–DahlbeckFaulk–HanifinFaulk–SlavinSlavin–PesceFaulk–Pesce
Killorn–Namestnikov–Gourde9:520.48–0.291:270.09–0.065:430.25–0.105:490.23–0.230:500.10–0.02
Kunitz–Stamkos–Kucherov1:430.00–0.002:170.02–0.026:350.53–0.110:410.00–0.003:470.17–0.041:320.18–0.005:230.14–0.091:030.06–0.00
Johnson–Palat–Point1:390.03–0.058:260.64–0.131:110.05–0.092:570.33–0.082:110.03–0.074:270.01–0.121:030.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Callahan–Brown–Paquette1:350.02–0.076:450.39–0.082:360.12–0.093:430.23–0.062:130.10–0.00
Stamkos–Kucherov–Namestnikov0:390.00–0.001:020.01–0.00
Hedman–Dotchin3:010.10–0.027:100.48–0.033:130.19–0.092:070.02–0.044:320.27–0.081:140.00–0.028:080.24–0.081:580.35–0.000:460.00–0.02
Stralman–Sergachev5:540.07–0.151:400.16–0.104:470.06–0.180:350.00–0.046:510.27–0.154:140.00–0.112:040.04–0.180:310.00–0.00
Coburn–Sustr4:340.34–0.170:550.00–0.021:080.05–0.005:150.37–0.152:130.18–0.016:430.54–0.211:260.04–0.020:430.00–0.00
Stralman–Hedman1:450.00–0.000:460.16–0.001:290.00–0.081:010.00–0.000:520.06–0.00
Coburn–Stralman1:020.00–0.001:080.13–0.060:310.00–0.031:190.00–0.061:200.13–0.03
Hedman–Sustr0:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKillorn FGourde FNamestnikov FJohnson FPalat FPoint FKunitz FKucherov FStamkos FPaquette FCallahan FBrown FDotchin DHedman DStralman DSergachev DCoburn DSustr DVasilevskiy GWilliams FMcGinn FRask FStaal FAho FTeravainen FRyan FLindholm FSkinner FKruger FJooris FNordstrom Fvan Riemsdyk DSlavin DDahlbeck DFaulk DHanifin DPesce DWard G
TBLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2828:071:002:3048
Anton StralmanTBL2927:090:562:3076
Justin FaulkCAR2724:080:542:3056
Jaccob SlavinCAR2521:270:511:4436
Brett PesceCAR2219:480:541:5521
Jake DotchinTBL2519:430:471:5055
Justin WilliamsCAR2619:240:451:1835
Brock McGinnCAR2518:480:451:1835
Sebastian AhoCAR2518:410:451:3074
Noah HanifinCAR2518:340:451:4341
Jordan StaalCAR2618:150:421:1873
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2617:420:411:1274
Alex KillornTBL2117:370:501:5322
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1917:340:552:1422
Derek RyanCAR2416:460:421:4742
Trevor van RiemsdykCAR2016:430:501:3725
Brayden PointTBL2416:420:421:0557
Victor RaskCAR2416:400:421:3634
Braydon CoburnTBL2016:220:492:1412
Tyler JohnsonTBL2416:150:411:0755
Yanni GourdeTBL1915:570:502:0624
Ondrej PalatTBL2115:340:442:0844
Mikhail SergachevTBL2215:310:421:1763
Nikita KucherovTBL2215:050:411:2963
Elias LindholmCAR2215:030:411:2071
Jeff SkinnerCAR2215:030:411:3141
Steven StamkosTBL2214:560:411:2063
Klas DahlbeckCAR2214:540:411:5825
Chris KunitzTBL2113:370:391:2062
Andrej SustrTBL1813:080:441:1921
Ryan CallahanTBL1912:250:391:4543
Josh JoorisCAR1710:380:381:5025
Joakim NordstromCAR1810:210:351:5025
JT BrownTBL159:380:391:5142
Marcus KrugerCAR179:370:341:2225
Cedric PaquetteTBL149:040:391:3442