Tue, Jan 9, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 63% of the time.
53%
10%
30%
TBL winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 4 | 24:08 | 0.11 | 20.0% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 21:27 | 0.07 | 25.0% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:48 | 0.15 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:24 | 0.22 | 44.2% | +15.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:48 | 0.22 | 40.7% | +15.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.07 | 22.6% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:34 | 0.06 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 18:15 | 0.07 | 24.7% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 0 | 17:42 | 0.00 | 12.5% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 16:46 | 0.09 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:43 | 0.03 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:40 | 0.00 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.29 | 32.7% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:03 | 0.37 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:54 | 0.04 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:38 | 0.12 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:21 | 0.19 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:37 | 0.00 | 39.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 29 | 5 | .853 | 2.73 | −2.3 | 57:28 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 28:07 | 0.14 | 84.2% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 27:09 | 0.03 | 46.9% | +18.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 1 | 19:43 | 0.12 | 87.0% | +50.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:37 | 0.04 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:34 | 0.18 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 16:42 | 0.12 | 67.8% | +69.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:22 | 0.03 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 6 | 16:15 | 0.82 | 74.8% | +49.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:57 | 0.28 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:34 | 0.00 | 56.1% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:31 | 0.09 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.05 | 73.8% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:56 | 0.31 | 84.5% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.05 | 87.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.03 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:25 | 0.14 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:38 | 0.12 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:04 | 0.18 | 75.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 2.09 | −1.9 | 60:00 |