Thu, Feb 15, 2018·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 2, Ottawa Senators 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 83% of the time.
76%
11%
OTT winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Pouliot–O'Reilly–Reinhart | Okposo–Kane–Rodrigues | Pominville–Larsson–Wilson | Josefson–Girgensons–Baptiste | Scandella–Nelson | Beaulieu–Ristolainen | Gorges–Antipin | Gorges–Ristolainen | Scandella–Ristolainen | Scandella–Beaulieu | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaborik–Hoffman–Duchene | 1:300.00–0.01 | 1:030.05–0.00 | 4:020.10–0.07 | 2:550.26–0.00 | 2:360.10–0.01 | 4:550.14–0.02 | 1:330.11–0.00 | 1:250.07–0.01 | ||
| Brassard–Smith–Stone | 1:200.00–0.02 | 5:460.71–0.04 | 1:170.33–0.00 | 4:070.93–0.00 | 2:340.07–0.04 | 3:060.08–0.17 | ||||
| Pyatt–Paajarvi–Pageau | 7:110.19–0.03 | 0:450.01–0.00 | 3:270.10–0.00 | 1:320.09–0.01 | 1:580.00–0.01 | 0:430.01–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.01 | |||
| Dzingel–Shore–White | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:570.11–0.02 | 3:020.11–0.07 | 2:170.01–0.04 | 2:090.11–0.02 | 2:230.10–0.03 | ||||
| Brassard–Stone–Dzingel | 0:330.00–0.06 | 0:330.00–0.06 | ||||||||
| Oduya–Karlsson | 5:040.06–0.09 | 1:070.06–0.00 | 2:250.17–0.01 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 5:170.22–0.01 | 1:490.00–0.00 | 2:130.11–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.01 | ||
| Ceci–Chabot | 0:590.00–0.00 | 1:060.09–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.04 | 1:080.00–0.04 | 2:080.07–0.00 | 1:340.02–0.00 | ||||
| Borowiecki–Ceci | 1:060.00–0.01 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 0:480.01–0.00 | 0:560.09–0.00 | 1:410.01–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 1:140.09–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||
| Karlsson–Chabot | 0:580.00–0.00 | 2:050.00–0.02 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 2:090.00–0.02 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||
| Borowiecki–Harpur | 1:500.00–0.01 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:490.10–0.02 | 0:480.14–0.00 | 0:560.01–0.00 | 2:200.24–0.03 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||
| Ceci–Harpur | 0:450.09–0.02 | 2:110.45–0.03 | 0:460.01–0.00 | 0:500.45–0.00 | 1:130.09–0.01 | 1:410.01–0.04 | ||||
| Oduya–Ceci | 1:350.01–0.01 | 0:450.00–0.03 | 0:390.00–0.03 | 1:210.00–0.03 | 0:370.00–0.01 | |||||
| Karlsson–Harpur | 0:370.00–0.06 | 0:470.28–0.00 | 1:310.28–0.06 | |||||||
| Borowiecki–Chabot | 0:550.00–0.04 | 0:500.07–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:310.07–0.00 | ||||||
| Karlsson–Borowiecki | 0:460.00–0.01 | 0:350.00–0.01 | ||||||||
| Oduya–Harpur | 0:450.03–0.00 | 0:350.17–0.02 | 0:520.20–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 30 | 29:36 | 0:59 | 1:56 | 8 | 4 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 29 | 28:18 | 0:59 | 2:36 | 2 | 5 |
 Marco ScandellaBUF | 27 | 26:01 | 0:58 | 2:32 | 3 | 6 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 28 | 22:37 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 1 | 4 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 27 | 22:07 | 0:49 | 2:31 | 4 | 6 |
 Matt DucheneOTT | 23 | 21:02 | 0:55 | 1:40 | 7 | 1 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 22 | 20:44 | 0:57 | 1:40 | 8 | 2 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 21 | 20:39 | 0:59 | 2:13 | 4 | 5 |
 Johnny OduyaOTT | 23 | 19:59 | 0:52 | 2:02 | 5 | 3 |
 Casey NelsonBUF | 24 | 19:02 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 2 | 3 |
 Derick BrassardOTT | 23 | 18:58 | 0:49 | 2:28 | 4 | 6 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 24 | 18:34 | 0:46 | 2:24 | 4 | 3 |
 Marian GaborikOTT | 20 | 18:12 | 0:55 | 1:32 | 4 | 0 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 20 | 17:12 | 0:52 | 1:38 | 1 | 6 |
 Benoit PouliotBUF | 22 | 16:44 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 2 | 3 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 20 | 16:27 | 0:49 | 1:27 | 3 | 0 |
 Nathan BeaulieuBUF | 18 | 16:25 | 0:55 | 1:37 | 1 | 2 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 18 | 15:56 | 0:53 | 2:02 | 5 | 1 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 20 | 15:28 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 1 | 4 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 21 | 15:21 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 1 | 1 |
 Evander KaneBUF | 17 | 14:58 | 0:53 | 1:37 | 2 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 20 | 13:53 | 0:42 | 1:05 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben HarpurOTT | 17 | 13:46 | 0:49 | 1:38 | 0 | 2 |
 Scott WilsonBUF | 17 | 13:42 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 1 | 3 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 23 | 13:40 | 0:36 | 1:38 | 1 | 3 |
 Tom PyattOTT | 17 | 13:33 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 2 | 2 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 16 | 13:22 | 0:50 | 2:02 | 4 | 1 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 18 | 12:47 | 0:43 | 1:36 | 2 | 2 |
 Ryan DzingelOTT | 14 | 12:17 | 0:53 | 1:43 | 2 | 0 |
 Victor AntipinBUF | 17 | 11:43 | 0:41 | 1:02 | 0 | 1 |
 Magnus PaajarviOTT | 16 | 11:40 | 0:44 | 1:05 | 2 | 1 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 13 | 11:13 | 0:52 | 1:17 | 1 | 3 |
 Jacob JosefsonBUF | 17 | 10:15 | 0:36 | 1:12 | 0 | 1 |
 Nick BaptisteBUF | 14 | 8:53 | 0:38 | 1:08 | 0 | 0 |
 Colin WhiteOTT | 12 | 8:46 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 1 | 0 |
 Nicholas ShoreOTT | 12 | 8:45 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 1 | 0 |