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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 5, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Buffalo Sabres 5

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 70% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 1:23Carrick: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Scandella, Josefson, Nolan, Ristolainen · TOR Marleau, Kadri, Carrick, Dermott, Marner

  4. P1 1:53Goal by Reinhart (Ristolainen, Okposo)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart · TOR Hainsey, Komarov, Hyman, Zaitsev

  5. P1 3:01Shot by Gardiner, saved by Johnson
  6. P1 3:43Goal by Pominville (Ristolainen, Larsson)+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Scandella, Larsson, Wilson, Ristolainen · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly

  7. P1 4:07Shot by Marner, saved by Johnson
  8. P1 5:07Shot by Carrick, saved by Johnson
  9. P1 6:22Shot by Plekanec, saved by Johnson
  10. P1 7:08Shot by Marleau, saved by Johnson
  11. P1 8:44Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Johnson
  12. P1 9:19Shot by Bozak, saved by Johnson
  13. P1 10:22Shot by Martin, saved by Johnson
  14. P1 11:23Shot by Brown, saved by Johnson
  15. P1 12:49Shot by Girgensons, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 13:36Shot by Hyman, saved by Johnson
  17. P1 13:50Shot by Guhle, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 13:58Shot by Pominville, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 14:49Shot by Marner, saved by Johnson
  20. P1 17:32Shot by Kapanen, saved by Johnson
  21. P1 18:39Girgensons: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF O'Reilly, Beaulieu, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Reinhart · TOR Marleau, Kadri, Carrick, Dermott, Marner

  22. P1 19:49Shot by Nylander, saved by Johnson4v5
  23. P1 19:52Goal by Komarov (Nylander, Marleau)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pouliot, Scandella, Larsson, Ristolainen · TOR Marleau, Komarov, Gardiner, Brown, Nylander

  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:39Ristolainen: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Scandella, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Reinhart · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Marner

  27. P2 1:39Kadri: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Scandella, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Reinhart · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Marner

  28. P2 1:39Kadri: Cross checking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Scandella, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Reinhart · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Marner

  29. P2 3:04Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Andersen5v4
  30. P2 4:03Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Johnson
  31. P2 4:37Shot by Plekanec, saved by Johnson
  32. P2 5:24Shot by Marner, saved by Johnson
  33. P2 6:27Shot by Carrick, saved by Johnson
  34. P2 6:44Shot by Nelson, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 7:19Shot by Bozak, saved by Johnson
  36. P2 7:23Shot by Bozak, saved by Johnson
  37. P2 7:40Shot by Reinhart, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 8:18Shot by Scandella, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 10:48Goal by Komarov (Martin, Zaitsev)+23 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pouliot, O'Reilly, Baptiste, Guhle, Nelson · TOR Plekanec, Komarov, Gardiner, Martin, Zaitsev

  40. P2 11:18Shot by Reinhart, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 11:26Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 12:01Shot by Pominville, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 12:08Shot by Wilson, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 12:19Shot by Pominville, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 12:45Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Johnson
  46. P2 13:02Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 13:30Goal by Girgensons (Reinhart, O'Reilly)+23 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Scandella, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Reinhart · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Marner

  48. P2 14:04Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Johnson
  49. P2 15:35Goal by O'Reilly, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, O'Reilly, Beaulieu, Girgensons, Guhle · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Marner

  50. P2 15:46Shot by Hyman, saved by Johnson
  51. P2 16:28Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Andersen
  52. P2 17:50Shot by Scandella, saved by Andersen
  53. P2 19:58Shot by Carrick, saved by Johnson
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:34Shot by Komarov, saved by Johnson
  57. P3 3:51Shot by Rielly, saved by Johnson
  58. P3 4:45Shot by Hyman, saved by Johnson
  59. P3 6:42Shot by Josefson, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 7:39Shot by Dermott, saved by Johnson
  61. P3 9:29Shot by Gardiner, saved by Johnson
  62. P3 9:53Shot by Pominville, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 9:55Goal by Larsson (Pominville, Nolan)+3 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Nolan, Larsson, Ristolainen, Nelson · TOR Hainsey, Plekanec, Komarov, Gardiner, Martin

  64. P3 10:20Shot by Kadri, saved by Johnson
  65. P3 10:33Shot by Marleau, saved by Johnson
  66. P3 12:34Shot by Guhle, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 13:42Shot by Kadri, saved by Johnson
  68. P3 14:47Shot by Kadri, saved by Johnson
  69. P3 15:44Shot by Gardiner, saved by Johnson
  70. P3 15:55Shot by Marleau, saved by Johnson
  71. P3 16:14Reinhart: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: BUF O'Reilly, Beaulieu, Girgensons, Reinhart, Antipin · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Marner

  72. P3 16:39Shot by Komarov, saved by Johnson4v5
  73. P3 17:57Goal by Marner (Carrick, Rielly)4v60 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Larsson, Girgensons, Guhle, Nelson · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Carrick, Marner

  74. P3 18:22Shot by Komarov, saved by Johnson5v6
  75. P3 19:25Shot by Kadri, saved by Johnson5v6
  76. P3 19:48Shot by Marner, saved by Johnson5v6
  77. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  78. P3 0:00Final5v6