Mon, Mar 5, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 70% of the time.
21%
9%
62%
BUF winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Hyman–Brown–Nylander | van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Kapanen | Marleau–Kadri–Marner | Plekanec–Komarov–Martin | Marleau–Nylander–Marner | Gardiner–Zaitsev | Carrick–Dermott | Hainsey–Rielly | Gardiner–Rielly | Gardiner–Carrick | Rielly–Dermott | Hainsey–Zaitsev | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Reilly–Girgensons–Reinhart | 1:300.11–0.00 | 1:270.02–0.02 | 7:560.24–0.38 | 1:030.00–0.01 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 2:360.03–0.18 | 1:280.07–0.05 | 7:140.28–0.10 | 0:510.00–0.04 | 1:020.00–0.04 | ||
| Okposo–Josefson–Nolan | 4:190.11–0.25 | 3:080.00–0.08 | 1:580.00–0.12 | 1:440.11–0.03 | 1:580.11–0.08 | 5:520.00–0.24 | 1:390.15–0.07 | 0:300.00–0.07 | 1:010.11–0.03 | |||
| Pominville–Larsson–Wilson | 4:110.17–0.13 | 3:070.23–0.25 | 1:430.00–0.03 | 5:130.10–0.11 | 2:270.23–0.21 | 2:210.15–0.11 | ||||||
| Pouliot–Baptiste–Criscuolo | 1:440.00–0.00 | 1:230.01–0.00 | 1:050.01–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||||
| O'Reilly–Larsson–Wilson | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Scandella–Ristolainen | 3:150.11–0.23 | 3:500.00–0.26 | 7:420.23–0.36 | 1:060.00–0.01 | 4:560.02–0.21 | 5:120.07–0.46 | 5:180.49–0.08 | |||||
| Guhle–Nelson | 3:590.05–0.03 | 2:100.00–0.00 | 1:390.00–0.00 | 2:250.01–0.23 | 4:380.02–0.22 | 2:270.00–0.02 | 4:100.05–0.07 | |||||
| Beaulieu–Antipin | 3:030.22–0.05 | 3:200.25–0.05 | 1:130.03–0.15 | 3:110.01–0.19 | 3:370.23–0.31 | 5:190.23–0.01 | 2:030.04–0.02 | |||||
| Beaulieu–Nelson | 0:310.00–0.11 | 1:220.03–0.03 | 0:360.00–0.11 | 1:280.03–0.09 | ||||||||
| Nelson–Antipin | 0:390.00–0.01 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Scandella–Antipin | 1:140.00–0.12 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.12 | |||||||||
| Ristolainen–Antipin | 0:360.00–0.08 | 0:330.00–0.05 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 26 | 25:52 | 1:00 | 2:45 | 3 | 4 |
 Marco ScandellaBUF | 28 | 25:47 | 0:55 | 2:03 | 4 | 6 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 27 | 22:47 | 0:51 | 1:22 | 3 | 2 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 27 | 20:57 | 0:47 | 1:36 | 5 | 3 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 28 | 20:41 | 0:44 | 2:02 | 3 | 8 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 28 | 20:30 | 0:44 | 1:29 | 1 | 6 |
 Casey NelsonBUF | 22 | 19:51 | 0:54 | 2:05 | 0 | 1 |
 Nikita ZaitsevTOR | 27 | 19:31 | 0:43 | 1:31 | 2 | 4 |
 Connor CarrickTOR | 24 | 19:30 | 0:49 | 1:26 | 3 | 1 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 24 | 18:20 | 0:46 | 1:49 | 5 | 1 |
 William NylanderTOR | 21 | 18:17 | 0:52 | 1:14 | 7 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 24 | 18:02 | 0:45 | 1:49 | 2 | 5 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 20 | 17:56 | 0:54 | 1:49 | 5 | 2 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 25 | 17:51 | 0:43 | 2:02 | 3 | 6 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 24 | 17:30 | 0:44 | 1:35 | 6 | 1 |
 Scott WilsonBUF | 22 | 17:22 | 0:47 | 1:35 | 1 | 2 |
 Ron HainseyTOR | 24 | 17:00 | 0:43 | 2:09 | 2 | 5 |
 Jacob JosefsonBUF | 23 | 16:48 | 0:44 | 1:49 | 5 | 4 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 20 | 16:47 | 0:50 | 1:22 | 5 | 3 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 19 | 16:42 | 0:53 | 1:14 | 5 | 2 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 25 | 16:20 | 0:39 | 1:30 | 3 | 2 |
 Nathan BeaulieuBUF | 21 | 16:04 | 0:46 | 2:07 | 0 | 4 |
 Jordan NolanBUF | 21 | 15:54 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 4 | 1 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 20 | 15:47 | 0:47 | 1:11 | 4 | 3 |
 Victor AntipinBUF | 21 | 15:36 | 0:45 | 1:44 | 1 | 5 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 19 | 15:18 | 0:48 | 1:11 | 5 | 1 |
 Patrick MarleauTOR | 23 | 15:15 | 0:40 | 1:38 | 5 | 1 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 21 | 15:10 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 2 | 3 |
 Kasperi KapanenTOR | 18 | 15:04 | 0:50 | 1:22 | 4 | 4 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 22 | 14:56 | 0:41 | 1:21 | 3 | 1 |
 Brendan GuhleBUF | 21 | 14:50 | 0:42 | 2:05 | 1 | 1 |
 Tomas PlekanecTOR | 17 | 11:17 | 0:40 | 1:16 | 1 | 2 |
 Matt MartinTOR | 15 | 9:50 | 0:39 | 1:19 | 1 | 1 |
 Nick BaptisteBUF | 10 | 6:47 | 0:41 | 1:09 | 2 | 0 |
 Benoit PouliotBUF | 9 | 6:24 | 0:43 | 0:58 | 2 | 0 |
 Kyle CriscuoloBUF | 6 | 4:29 | 0:45 | 0:59 | 1 | 0 |