Mon, Mar 5, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 70% of the time.
21%
9%
62%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:47 | 0.09 | 63.7% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.01 | 42.0% | +0.3 |
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:31 | 0.01 | 78.9% | +22.7 |
 Connor CarrickD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:30 | 0.10 | 58.3% | +0.3 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 18:20 | 0.37 | 70.2% | +0.3 |
 William NylanderRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.17 | 62.3% | +12.4 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.00 | 62.3% | 0.0 |
 Ron HainseyD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 0 | 17:00 | 0.06 | 35.6% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:47 | 0.03 | 60.9% | 0.0 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:42 | 0.44 | 62.7% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:47 | 0.30 | 52.7% | 0.0 |
 Connor BrownRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:18 | 0.02 | 52.7% | 0.0 |
 Patrick MarleauC · #12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 15:15 | 0.16 | 65.4% | +12.4 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 15:10 | 0.80 | 45.7% | +35.1 |
 Kasperi KapanenRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.03 | 46.7% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 14:56 | 0.38 | 58.3% | 0.0 |
 Tomas PlekanecC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:17 | 0.07 | 49.2% | 0.0 |
 Matt MartinLW · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:50 | 0.17 | 55.4% | +22.7 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | L | 24 | 19 | 5 | .792 | 2.08 | −2.9 | 57:32 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus RistolainenD · #55 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 25:52 | 0.08 | 46.9% | +28.6 |
 Marco ScandellaD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 25:47 | 0.10 | 37.0% | 0.0 |
 Ryan O'ReillyC · #90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:41 | 0.30 | 37.3% | +36.2 |
 Johan LarssonLW · #22 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:30 | 0.16 | 55.1% | +14.8 |
 Casey NelsonD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:51 | 0.05 | 36.6% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:02 | 0.15 | 44.2% | +23.3 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:56 | 0.11 | 34.9% | +16.9 |
 Sam ReinhartC · #23 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:51 | 0.23 | 51.7% | +40.2 |
 Scott WilsonC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:22 | 0.07 | 40.1% | 0.0 |
 Jacob JosefsonC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:48 | 0.15 | 37.0% | 0.0 |
 Jason PominvilleRW · #29 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 16:20 | 0.35 | 55.2% | +14.8 |
 Nathan BeaulieuD · #82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:04 | 0.20 | 53.1% | 0.0 |
 Jordan NolanC · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:54 | 0.11 | 50.3% | +3.0 |
 Victor AntipinD · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:36 | 0.00 | 42.0% | 0.0 |
 Brendan GuhleD · #45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.03 | 34.8% | 0.0 |
 Nick BaptisteRW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:47 | 0.00 | 4.7% | 0.0 |
 Benoit PouliotLW · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:24 | 0.00 | 7.6% | 0.0 |
 Kyle CriscuoloC · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:29 | 0.00 | 6.2% | 0.0 |
 Chad Johnson#31 | W | 41 | 38 | 3 | .927 | 3.21 | +0.2 | 60:00 |