Wed, Mar 7, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Calgary Flames 5, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 71% of the time.
18%
10%
63%
BUF winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:38 | 0.04 | 82.6% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 21:33 | 0.06 | 84.1% | +20.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:26 | 0.05 | 86.1% | +10.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:40 | 0.07 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:01 | 0.12 | 73.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 17:45 | 0.14 | 87.0% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.09 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16:19 | 0.35 | 75.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:18 | 0.02 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:04 | 0.22 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:06 | 0.21 | 85.4% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.12 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 13:53 | 0.20 | 77.4% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:40 | 0.17 | 83.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.00 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 12:35 | 0.16 | 92.8% | +13.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 12:20 | 0.31 | 82.8% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 12:19 | 0.23 | 84.2% | +9.3 |
| W | 26 | 25 | 1 | .962 | 1.39 | +0.4 | 59:58 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:57 | 0.02 | 9.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:36 | 0.20 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:51 | 0.00 | 24.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.04 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:28 | 0.14 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.09 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:08 | 0.06 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:43 | 0.00 | 15.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:40 | 0.03 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:19 | 0.27 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.05 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:28 | 0.20 | 15.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:13 | 0.01 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:36 | 0.04 | 12.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.03 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:53 | 0.02 | 10.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:29 | 0.18 | 12.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:26 | 0.01 | 21.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 1.50 | −2.5 | 26:01 | |
| – | 19 | 18 | 1 | .947 | 1.06 | +0.1 | 33:59 |