Thu, Mar 8, 2018·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 4, Ottawa Senators 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 62% of the time.
53%
9%
31%
OTT winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Pouliot–O'Reilly–Reinhart | Pominville–Larsson–Wilson | Josefson–Nolan–Girgensons | Girgensons–O'Regan–Baptiste | O'Reilly–Wilson–Reinhart | Okposo–Josefson–Girgensons | Nolan–O'Regan–Baptiste | Pominville–Pouliot–Larsson | Pominville–Larsson–Girgensons | Josefson–Girgensons–Baptiste | O'Reilly–Nolan–Reinhart | Scandella–Ristolainen | Gorges–Nelson | Falk–Guhle | Ristolainen–Guhle | Falk–Ristolainen | Gorges–Scandella | Guhle–Nelson | Ristolainen–Nelson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffman–Duchene–Dzingel | 2:370.24–0.13 | 2:400.27–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.05 | 1:130.19–0.16 | 4:430.28–0.12 | 3:170.14–0.02 | 1:370.38–0.14 | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Pyatt–Smith–Paajarvi | 6:120.11–0.29 | 0:320.05–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 3:580.10–0.11 | 1:230.00–0.21 | 2:110.05–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Ryan–Stone–Pageau | 3:340.45–0.09 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 1:430.17–0.01 | 2:020.01–0.17 | 1:410.00–0.01 | 0:490.10–0.00 | 0:380.28–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Gaborik–Burrows–O'Brien | 1:210.00–0.04 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 1:150.03–0.04 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Paajarvi–Stone–Pageau | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:540.01–0.00 | 0:580.05–0.02 | 0:370.00–0.02 | 1:020.05–0.02 | 1:500.05–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Gaborik–Ryan–O'Brien | 0:420.02–0.00 | 0:440.02–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Burrows–Pyatt–Smith | 0:530.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Gaborik–Hoffman–Duchene | 0:480.00–0.37 | 0:430.00–0.03 | |||||||||||||||||
| Ryan–Pyatt–Paajarvi | 0:580.00–0.15 | 1:020.00–0.15 | |||||||||||||||||
| Karlsson–Claesson | 2:460.01–0.55 | 2:080.23–0.09 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.03 | 1:120.04–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 4:510.13–0.04 | 2:260.15–0.29 | 2:540.12–0.31 | ||||||||||
| Ceci–Harpur | 4:220.10–0.15 | 0:420.00–0.01 | 0:400.00–0.42 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 3:560.10–0.54 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:390.00–0.04 | 0:520.07–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Ceci–Chabot | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.12 | 1:000.05–0.02 | 1:080.00–0.02 | 1:070.05–0.13 | 2:060.07–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.02 | |||||||||||
| Karlsson–Chabot | 2:020.29–0.02 | 1:490.00–0.00 | 2:360.02–0.09 | 0:420.02–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:480.28–0.01 | |||||||||||||
| Borowiecki–Ceci | 1:290.00–0.02 | 1:060.17–0.00 | 0:520.27–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 2:550.44–0.02 | 2:010.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Borowiecki–Harpur | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.15 | 0:550.10–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.15 | |||||||||||||||
| Karlsson–Borowiecki | 0:510.00–0.05 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Karlsson–Harpur | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 32 | 31:52 | 1:00 | 1:59 | 4 | 7 |
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 30 | 29:11 | 0:58 | 1:46 | 8 | 2 |
 Marco ScandellaBUF | 30 | 28:02 | 0:56 | 1:40 | 2 | 8 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 32 | 25:54 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 2 | 6 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 30 | 24:39 | 0:49 | 2:11 | 3 | 10 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 25 | 22:32 | 0:54 | 1:57 | 8 | 4 |
 Matt DucheneOTT | 24 | 22:31 | 0:56 | 1:57 | 7 | 4 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 27 | 21:29 | 0:48 | 1:13 | 2 | 4 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 22 | 20:59 | 0:57 | 1:28 | 5 | 1 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 27 | 20:36 | 0:46 | 1:53 | 4 | 7 |
 Ryan DzingelOTT | 24 | 19:58 | 0:50 | 1:18 | 1 | 4 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 25 | 19:40 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 6 | 3 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 28 | 18:36 | 0:40 | 1:28 | 3 | 6 |
 Scott WilsonBUF | 25 | 18:19 | 0:44 | 1:28 | 3 | 4 |
 Casey NelsonBUF | 22 | 17:59 | 0:49 | 2:14 | 0 | 2 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 19 | 17:55 | 0:57 | 1:36 | 1 | 2 |
 Magnus PaajarviOTT | 22 | 16:44 | 0:46 | 2:16 | 4 | 3 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 23 | 16:38 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 1 | 3 |
 Ben HarpurOTT | 24 | 16:13 | 0:41 | 1:37 | 2 | 2 |
 Benoit PouliotBUF | 22 | 16:13 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 1 | 3 |
 Brendan GuhleBUF | 23 | 15:45 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 1 | 2 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 22 | 15:07 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 4 | 0 |
 Fredrik ClaessonOTT | 19 | 14:59 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 5 | 1 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 19 | 14:37 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 4 | 2 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 19 | 14:36 | 0:46 | 1:36 | 1 | 1 |
 Jacob JosefsonBUF | 19 | 14:17 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 1 | 1 |
 Tom PyattOTT | 20 | 13:57 | 0:42 | 1:19 | 4 | 3 |
 Justin FalkBUF | 21 | 13:52 | 0:40 | 1:14 | 1 | 2 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 20 | 13:27 | 0:40 | 1:33 | 2 | 3 |
 Nick BaptisteBUF | 16 | 11:15 | 0:42 | 1:44 | 0 | 1 |
 Marian GaborikOTT | 13 | 10:23 | 0:48 | 1:12 | 2 | 0 |
 Alexandre BurrowsOTT | 14 | 9:42 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 1 | 0 |
 Jordan NolanBUF | 17 | 9:41 | 0:34 | 1:04 | 1 | 0 |
 Danny O'ReganBUF | 13 | 9:28 | 0:44 | 1:30 | 0 | 1 |
 Jim O'BrienOTT | 10 | 7:42 | 0:46 | 1:09 | 1 | 0 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 6 | 4:00 | 0:40 | 1:03 | 1 | 0 |