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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 20, 2018·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Philadelphia Flyers 4, Detroit Red Wings 5 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 53% of the time.

DET winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:09Shot by Larkin, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 1:14Shot by Nielsen, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 2:13Shot by Hagg, saved by Howard
  5. P1 4:13Shot by Nyquist, saved by Mrazek
  6. P1 4:17Shot by Kronwall, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 4:26Shot by Nielsen, saved by Mrazek
  8. P1 5:18Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 7:14Shot by Voracek, saved by Howard
  10. P1 7:27Shot by Konecny, saved by Howard
  11. P1 7:32Shot by Giroux, saved by Howard
  12. P1 8:41Shot by Gudas, saved by Howard
  13. P1 9:05Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Mrazek
  14. P1 9:40Shot by Provorov, saved by Howard
  15. P1 11:42Shot by Larkin, saved by Mrazek
  16. P1 12:05Gudas: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Daley, Nyquist, DeKeyser, Bertuzzi · PHI Giroux, Gudas, Couturier, Hagg, Konecny

  17. P1 12:54Shot by Larkin, saved by Mrazek5v4
  18. P1 13:44Shot by Nyquist, saved by Mrazek5v4
  19. P1 14:28Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Mrazek
  20. P1 14:45Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Mrazek
  21. P1 17:29Shot by Patrick, saved by Howard
  22. P1 18:35Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Howard
  23. P1 19:38Shot by Voracek, saved by Howard
  24. P1 19:45Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Mrazek
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 2:27Svechnikov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Jensen, Glendening, Frk, Svechnikov · PHI Voracek, Gostisbehere, Lindblom, Provorov, Patrick

  28. P2 2:37Shot by Daley, saved by Mrazek4v5
  29. P2 6:01Shot by Hagg, saved by Howard
  30. P2 6:08Goal by Larkin (Helm)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Helm, DeKeyser, Mantha, Larkin · PHI Giroux, Gudas, Couturier, Hagg, Konecny

  31. P2 7:04Shot by Nielsen, saved by Mrazek
  32. P2 7:13Ericsson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Jensen, Athanasiou · PHI Filppula, MacDonald, Simmonds, Sanheim, Lindblom

  33. P2 7:59Goal by Glendening (Daley)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Glendening, DeKeyser, Larkin · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Couturier, Gostisbehere

  34. P2 8:53Goal by Couturier (Giroux, Gostisbehere)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Nielsen, Helm, DeKeyser · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Couturier, Gostisbehere

  35. P2 9:55Shot by Larkin, saved by Mrazek
  36. P2 9:57Goal by Svechnikov (Frk, Larkin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Jensen, Frk, Larkin, Svechnikov · PHI Filppula, Voracek, Simmonds, Gudas, Hagg

  37. P2 14:35Shot by Larkin, saved by Lyon
  38. P2 17:14Shot by MacDonald, saved by Howard
  39. P2 17:30Shot by Weal, saved by Howard
  40. P2 18:06Shot by Hagg, saved by Howard
  41. P2 19:28Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Lyon
  42. P2 19:59Shot by Frk, saved by Lyon
  43. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 1:05Shot by MacDonald, saved by Howard
  46. P3 1:34Shot by Provorov, saved by Howard
  47. P3 1:50Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lyon
  48. P3 3:28Shot by Hagg, saved by Howard
  49. P3 4:20Shot by Filppula, saved by Howard
  50. P3 4:33Shot by Filppula, saved by Howard
  51. P3 6:03Shot by Lindblom, saved by Howard
  52. P3 6:26Shot by Provorov, saved by Howard
  53. P3 6:27Shot by Konecny, saved by Howard
  54. P3 6:28Shot by Konecny, saved by Howard
  55. P3 7:46Goal by Read (Laughton, Lehtera)+12 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Green, Abdelkader, Mantha, Larkin · PHI MacDonald, Lehtera, Read, Laughton, Sanheim

  56. P3 8:40Zetterberg: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Nyquist, Jensen, Glendening · PHI Filppula, Giroux, Simmonds, Weal, Gostisbehere, Provorov

  57. P3 9:40Goal by Gostisbehere (Voracek, Giroux)4v5+29 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Glendening, DeKeyser, Larkin · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Couturier, Gostisbehere

  58. P3 10:15Shot by Helm, saved by Lyon
  59. P3 14:06Goal by Larkin (Mantha)+33 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Helm, Jensen, Mantha, Larkin · PHI Voracek, Gostisbehere, Lindblom, Provorov, Patrick

  60. P3 14:34Shot by Couturier, saved by Howard
  61. P3 14:34Goal by Konecny (Couturier, Giroux)+34 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Nielsen, Abdelkader, Athanasiou, DeKeyser · PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Couturier, Sanheim, Konecny

  62. P3 18:41Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lyon
  63. P3 19:24Shot by Provorov, saved by Howard
  64. P3 19:25DeKeyser: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Daley, Helm, DeKeyser, Mantha, Larkin · PHI Giroux, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Konecny, Provorov

  65. P3 19:36Shot by Couturier, saved by Howard4v5
  66. P3 19:52Shot by Giroux, saved by Howard4v5
  67. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  68. OT 0:00Period start
  69. OT 2:01Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lyon4v4
  70. OT 2:43Shot by Helm, saved by Lyon3v3
  71. OT 3:23Shot by Giroux, saved by Howard3v3
  72. OT 3:59Shot by Green, saved by Lyon3v3
  73. OT 4:05Shot by Larkin, saved by Lyon3v3
  74. OT 5:00Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lyon3v3
  75. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  76. SO Period start
  77. SO Goal by Nielsen, unassistedother
  78. SO Shot by Voracek, saved by Howardother
  79. SO Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lyonother
  80. SO Shot by Larkin, saved by Lyonother
  81. SO Period end
  82. SO Final