Tue, Mar 20, 2018·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Philadelphia Flyers 4, Detroit Red Wings 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 53% of the time.
36%
10%
46%
DET winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 27:13 | 0.09 | 62.3% | +41.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 26:29 | 0.09 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | −1 | 3 | 23:54 | 0.33 | 57.8% | +75.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 23:41 | 0.56 | 73.6% | +46.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 22:11 | 0.20 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 20:36 | 0.23 | 34.7% | +28.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:57 | 0.73 | 76.6% | +33.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:48 | 0.30 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:42 | 0.01 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:23 | 0.20 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:28 | 0.02 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:08 | 0.06 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:36 | 0.05 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 12:39 | 0.06 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:24 | 0.02 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:23 | 0.00 | 67.5% | +11.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:22 | 0.04 | 29.1% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 7:34 | 0.00 | 56.9% | +11.9 |
| – | 19 | 16 | 3 | .842 | 1.47 | −1.5 | 29:57 | |
| O | 12 | 11 | 1 | .917 | 1.28 | +0.3 | 34:36 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 23:25 | 0.57 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:04 | 0.06 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:48 | 0.05 | 52.5% | +13.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 8 | 21:10 | 0.66 | 51.1% | +68.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:42 | 0.02 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:45 | 0.00 | 87.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:18 | 0.16 | 42.4% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:05 | 0.00 | 34.2% | +33.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:58 | 0.27 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:44 | 0.00 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:31 | 0.02 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:47 | 0.23 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:39 | 0.00 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.10 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:53 | 0.16 | 85.0% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:23 | 0.10 | 23.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 8:38 | 0.26 | 80.1% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:59 | 0.09 | 77.3% | +12.9 |
| W | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 3.00 | −1.0 | 65:00 |