Mon, Mar 26, 2018·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 87% of the time.
82%
9%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 26:29 | 0.06 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:45 | 0.00 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 22:12 | 0.12 | 39.0% | +28.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 21:08 | 0.32 | 35.7% | +49.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:02 | 0.19 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:38 | 0.20 | 28.8% | +49.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:22 | 0.08 | 40.7% | +34.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:15 | 0.12 | 43.4% | +28.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:35 | 0.21 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:00 | 0.00 | 26.7% | +28.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:54 | 0.09 | 13.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.07 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:53 | 0.00 | 13.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:50 | 0.03 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11:35 | 0.24 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:22 | 0.16 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:05 | 0.00 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:07 | 0.26 | 66.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 41 | 39 | 2 | .951 | 4.88 | +2.9 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 25:08 | 0.14 | 67.6% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:46 | 0.02 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:17 | 0.36 | 73.3% | +26.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:17 | 0.00 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:58 | 0.06 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:45 | 0.47 | 57.8% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:41 | 0.24 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:23 | 0.66 | 84.0% | +26.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:04 | 0.13 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:33 | 0.36 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:23 | 0.25 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:02 | 0.34 | 73.3% | +48.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:53 | 0.14 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:45 | 0.84 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:06 | 0.00 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:15 | 0.31 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 11:38 | 0.21 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:22 | 0.35 | 61.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.14 | −0.9 | 57:44 |