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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 26, 2018·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 87% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Buffalo Sabres

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Rasmus RistolainenD · #55000+1126:290.0629.3%0.0
Marco ScandellaD · #60000022:450.0029.4%0.0
Casey NelsonD · #8101+2222:120.1239.0%+28.0
Jack EichelC · #15202+1421:080.3235.7%+49.7
Brendan GuhleD · #450000221:020.1927.5%0.0
Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28022+1218:380.2028.8%+49.7
Jason PominvilleRW · #29011+1218:220.0840.7%+34.5
Johan LarssonLW · #22011+1117:150.1243.4%+28.0
Scott WilsonC · #20000+1315:350.2146.9%0.0
Kyle OkposoRW · #21011+1015:000.0026.7%+28.0
Ryan O'ReillyC · #900000114:540.0913.4%0.0
Justin FalkD · #410000114:420.0744.3%0.0
Sam ReinhartC · #230000013:530.0013.9%0.0
Nathan BeaulieuD · #82000+1112:500.0353.9%0.0
Evan RodriguesC · #710000411:350.2456.1%0.0
Jordan NolanC · #170000111:220.1622.4%0.0
Benoit PouliotLW · #670000011:050.0061.6%0.0
Nick BaptisteRW · #130000210:070.2666.4%0.0
Chad Johnson#31W41392.9514.88+2.960:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jake GardinerD · #51011−2225:080.1467.6%+21.9
Morgan RiellyD · #44000+1121:460.0264.0%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16011+1019:170.3673.3%+26.3
Nikita ZaitsevD · #22000−2019:170.0066.7%0.0
Ron HainseyD · #2000+1217:580.0661.7%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34011−1417:450.4757.8%+21.9
Travis DermottD · #23000−1217:410.2461.4%0.0
Nazem KadriC · #43101+1417:230.6684.0%+26.3
Roman PolakD · #46000−1217:040.1362.3%0.0
James van RiemsdykLW · #250000316:330.3670.9%0.0
William NylanderRW · #29000−1316:230.2556.7%0.0
Patrick MarleauC · #12112+1316:020.3473.3%+48.2
Tyler BozakC · #420000415:530.1464.2%0.0
Zach HymanLW · #11000−1415:450.8460.4%0.0
Connor BrownRW · #280000013:060.0064.7%0.0
Andreas JohnssonLW · #18000−2212:150.3161.6%0.0
Tomas PlekanecC · #19000−2311:380.2161.2%0.0
Kasperi KapanenRW · #24000−2211:220.3561.6%0.0
Frederik Andersen#31L27243.8892.14−0.957:44