Mon, Mar 26, 2018·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 87% of the time.
82%
9%
TOR winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Pominville–Girgensons–Eichel | Pouliot–Baptiste–Rodrigues | Okposo–Larsson–Wilson | Okposo–O'Reilly–Wilson | Nolan–Larsson–Reinhart | O'Reilly–Nolan–Reinhart | Scandella–Nelson | Ristolainen–Guhle | Falk–Beaulieu | Falk–Ristolainen | Ristolainen–Nelson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marleau–Kadri–Marner | 5:250.25–0.05 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 2:170.00–0.09 | 2:330.24–0.00 | 5:090.22–0.06 | 5:080.33–0.01 | 1:180.00–0.07 | 1:240.11–0.00 | |||
| Hyman–Nylander–Matthews | 1:180.20–0.37 | 2:480.00–0.17 | 4:290.21–0.02 | 1:210.06–0.00 | 2:140.03–0.16 | 8:090.88–0.24 | 1:370.05–0.33 | 0:380.10–0.00 | |||
| van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Brown | 1:370.35–0.10 | 3:330.08–0.08 | 1:200.00–0.00 | 1:590.24–0.00 | 0:530.10–0.00 | 5:050.39–0.10 | 1:490.05–0.19 | 3:560.17–0.05 | |||
| Plekanec–Johnsson–Kapanen | 4:270.32–0.08 | 1:270.04–0.24 | 0:300.12–0.00 | 0:370.05–0.00 | 3:450.16–0.07 | 2:470.17–0.09 | 2:480.42–0.09 | ||||
| Gardiner–Zaitsev | 4:590.38–0.32 | 3:450.00–0.23 | 1:460.05–0.02 | 0:490.28–0.00 | 1:320.13–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 6:070.11–0.16 | 6:100.76–0.19 | 4:130.19–0.20 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |
| Hainsey–Rielly | 6:050.30–0.20 | 0:320.00–0.09 | 2:280.11–0.09 | 2:160.28–0.00 | 4:350.32–0.17 | 6:550.75–0.15 | 1:360.19–0.28 | 0:340.09–0.00 | |||
| Polak–Dermott | 1:440.45–0.08 | 2:530.14–0.06 | 2:080.06–0.24 | 1:300.00–0.06 | 2:240.29–0.00 | 5:300.49–0.07 | 3:410.06–0.19 | 3:370.21–0.10 | 0:520.21–0.00 | ||
| Gardiner–Rielly | 0:560.10–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:340.10–0.00 | |||||||
| Hainsey–Gardiner | 0:550.11–0.00 | 0:370.05–0.00 | |||||||||
| Dermott–Zaitsev | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 34 | 26:29 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 2 | 6 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 25 | 25:08 | 1:00 | 2:54 | 2 | 2 |
 Marco ScandellaBUF | 30 | 22:45 | 0:46 | 1:35 | 2 | 5 |
 Casey NelsonBUF | 30 | 22:12 | 0:44 | 1:34 | 2 | 5 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 26 | 21:46 | 0:50 | 2:20 | 5 | 1 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 25 | 21:08 | 0:51 | 2:28 | 1 | 5 |
 Brendan GuhleBUF | 28 | 21:02 | 0:45 | 1:37 | 1 | 6 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 23 | 19:17 | 0:50 | 1:20 | 3 | 1 |
 Nikita ZaitsevTOR | 24 | 19:17 | 0:48 | 2:08 | 2 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 23 | 18:38 | 0:49 | 1:59 | 2 | 3 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 23 | 18:22 | 0:48 | 2:01 | 1 | 0 |
 Ron HainseyTOR | 26 | 17:58 | 0:41 | 1:15 | 3 | 2 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 23 | 17:45 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 8 | 1 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 25 | 17:41 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 3 | 1 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 23 | 17:23 | 0:45 | 1:12 | 3 | 1 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 22 | 17:15 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 0 | 6 |
 Roman PolakTOR | 21 | 17:04 | 0:49 | 1:27 | 2 | 1 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 19 | 16:33 | 0:52 | 1:50 | 2 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 24 | 16:23 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 9 | 1 |
 Patrick MarleauTOR | 24 | 16:02 | 0:40 | 1:10 | 3 | 1 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 20 | 15:53 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 3 | 3 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 20 | 15:45 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 8 | 1 |
 Scott WilsonBUF | 21 | 15:35 | 0:45 | 1:40 | 1 | 2 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 20 | 15:00 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 1 | 3 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 24 | 14:54 | 0:37 | 1:20 | 2 | 6 |
 Justin FalkBUF | 24 | 14:42 | 0:37 | 1:07 | 2 | 0 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 20 | 13:53 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 1 | 3 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 17 | 13:06 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 1 | 2 |
 Nathan BeaulieuBUF | 20 | 12:50 | 0:39 | 1:23 | 2 | 0 |
 Andreas JohnssonTOR | 18 | 12:15 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 1 | 2 |
 Tomas PlekanecTOR | 17 | 11:38 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 1 | 2 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 21 | 11:35 | 0:33 | 1:04 | 3 | 4 |
 Kasperi KapanenTOR | 17 | 11:22 | 0:40 | 1:08 | 1 | 2 |
 Jordan NolanBUF | 16 | 11:22 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 0 | 0 |
 Benoit PouliotBUF | 18 | 11:05 | 0:37 | 1:11 | 3 | 1 |
 Nick BaptisteBUF | 17 | 10:07 | 0:36 | 1:10 | 2 | 0 |