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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 29, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Detroit Red Wings 6, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

Detroit Red Wings

6

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 59% of the time.

BUF winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Shot by Pominville, saved by Howard
  3. P1 1:48Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Lehner
  4. P1 3:16Goal by Eichel (Pominville, Guhle)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Eichel, Guhle · DET Daley, Ericsson, Helm, Mantha, Larkin

  5. P1 3:26Shot by Okposo, saved by Howard
  6. P1 4:41Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Howard
  7. P1 5:54Frk: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Eichel, Guhle · DET Glendening, Frk, DeKeyser, Hicketts, Svechnikov

  8. P1 6:10Shot by Okposo, saved by Howard5v4
  9. P1 7:08Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Howard5v4
  10. P1 7:11Goal by O'Reilly (Reinhart, Ristolainen)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · DET Nielsen, Ericsson, Helm, Jensen

  11. P1 7:41Goal by Larkin (Svechnikov)+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Scandella, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Nelson, Mittelstadt · DET Kronwall, Mantha, Larkin, Hicketts, Svechnikov

  12. P1 8:07Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lehner
  13. P1 10:28Shot by Girgensons, saved by Howard
  14. P1 10:53Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Lehner
  15. P1 11:29Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lehner
  16. P1 12:51Shot by Nolan, saved by Howard
  17. P1 13:40Shot by Nelson, saved by Howard
  18. P1 14:26Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Lehner
  19. P1 15:59Shot by Helm, saved by Lehner
  20. P1 17:15Nolan: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Falk, Nolan, Larsson, Beaulieu, Baptiste · DET Zetterberg, Nyquist, DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Hicketts

  21. P1 17:23Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lehner4v5
  22. P1 18:43Shot by Wilson, saved by Howard4v5
  23. P1 19:02Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Lehner4v5
  24. P1 19:20Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lehner
  25. P1 19:23Ristolainen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Scandella, Nolan, Ristolainen, Eichel, Mittelstadt · DET Zetterberg, Daley, Nyquist, DeKeyser, Bertuzzi

  26. P1 19:36Shot by Larkin, saved by Lehner4v5
  27. P1 19:56Shot by Larkin, saved by Lehner4v5
  28. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:29Shot by Girgensons, saved by Howard4v5
  31. P2 3:21Shot by Jensen, saved by Lehner
  32. P2 4:27Shot by Wilson, saved by Howard
  33. P2 4:35Shot by Nelson, saved by Howard
  34. P2 4:45Abdelkader: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Scandella, O'Reilly, Wilson, Nelson · DET Daley, Nielsen, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Athanasiou

  35. P2 5:01Shot by Larkin, saved by Lehner5v4
  36. P2 5:21Goal by Helm (Nielsen)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · DET Daley, Nielsen, Helm, Jensen

  37. P2 6:26Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lehner5v4
  38. P2 7:24Shot by Pominville, saved by Howard
  39. P2 7:47Shot by Pominville, saved by Howard
  40. P2 8:11Shot by Guhle, saved by Howard
  41. P2 8:56Shot by Wilson, saved by Howard
  42. P2 12:45Shot by Wilson, saved by Howard
  43. P2 12:49Ericsson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Scandella, O'Reilly, Wilson, Nelson · DET Daley, Ericsson, Helm, Frk, Larkin

  44. P2 13:11Shot by Eichel, saved by Howard5v4
  45. P2 13:33Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Howard5v4
  46. P2 14:16Shot by Okposo, saved by Howard5v4
  47. P2 14:25Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Howard5v4
  48. P2 14:26Nolan: Delaying game bench face off violation (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Scandella, Baptiste, Rodrigues, Mittelstadt · DET Kronwall, Daley, Abdelkader, Glendening

  49. P2 15:51Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lehner4v5
  50. P2 16:23Shot by Mantha, saved by Lehner4v5
  51. P2 16:26Goal by Mantha (Hicketts, Nielsen)+24 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Scandella, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen · DET Nielsen, Frk, Mantha, Larkin, Hicketts

  52. P2 17:01Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Howard
  53. P2 18:54Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Lehner
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 1:50Goal by Athanasiou (Abdelkader, Kronwall)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Falk, Beaulieu, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Mittelstadt · DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Abdelkader, Athanasiou, DeKeyser

  57. P3 2:12Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Johnson
  58. P3 3:13Shot by Girgensons, saved by Howard
  59. P3 4:34Shot by Mantha, saved by Johnson
  60. P3 4:51Goal by Rodrigues (Mittelstadt)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ristolainen, Reinhart, Guhle, Rodrigues, Mittelstadt · DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Abdelkader, Jensen, Glendening

  61. P3 5:18Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Johnson
  62. P3 6:06Daley: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Scandella, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Eichel · DET Daley, Ericsson, Helm, Athanasiou, Larkin

  63. P3 6:42Shot by Okposo, saved by Howard5v4
  64. P3 7:38Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Howard5v4
  65. P3 8:02Shot by Eichel, saved by Howard5v4
  66. P3 10:10Goal by DeKeyser (Nyquist, Zetterberg)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Falk, Nolan, Larsson, Baptiste, Guhle · DET Zetterberg, Nyquist, DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Hicketts

  67. P3 11:53Okposo: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Scandella, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Mittelstadt · DET Zetterberg, Nyquist, Frk, DeKeyser, Mantha, Hicketts

  68. P3 12:01Shot by Nielsen, saved by Johnson4v5
  69. P3 12:36Shot by Frk, saved by Johnson4v5
  70. P3 13:09Shot by Frk, saved by Johnson4v5
  71. P3 14:00Falk: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Falk, Wilson, Eichel, Nelson · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Bertuzzi

  72. P3 14:36Shot by Frk, saved by Johnson4v5
  73. P3 15:41Shot by Eichel, saved by Howard4v5
  74. P3 15:59Shot by Nyquist, saved by Johnson4v5
  75. P3 16:59Goal by Svechnikov (Mantha, Larkin)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Larsson, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Nelson · DET Daley, Ericsson, Mantha, Larkin, Svechnikov

  76. P3 17:22Shot by Jensen, saved by Johnson
  77. P3 18:28Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Howard
  78. P3 19:15Shot by Eichel, saved by Howard
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final