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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 29, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Detroit Red Wings 6, Buffalo Sabres 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 59% of the time.

BUF winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Zetterberg–Nyquist–BertuzziNielsen–Abdelkader–AthanasiouHelm–Mantha–LarkinMantha–Larkin–SvechnikovGlendening–Frk–SvechnikovHelm–Glendening–FrkHelm–Glendening–AthanasiouAbdelkader–Glendening–AthanasiouDaley–EricssonDeKeyser–HickettsKronwall–JensenJensen–DeKeyserKronwall–Hicketts
Pominville–Girgensons–Eichel1:380.01–0.033:550.09–0.001:020.00–0.050:360.00–0.005:180.08–0.083:260.13–0.001:080.06–0.00
Okposo–O'Reilly–Wilson1:450.00–0.062:420.00–0.011:120.04–0.003:310.17–0.002:450.02–0.001:450.01–0.030:400.00–0.12
Reinhart–Rodrigues–Mittelstadt1:300.00–0.052:040.00–0.352:050.01–0.110:460.00–0.001:130.01–0.163:420.13–0.091:000.00–0.09
Nolan–Larsson–Baptiste3:100.01–0.242:400.04–0.032:180.00–0.142:340.04–0.100:520.00–0.00
O'Reilly–Larsson–Baptiste1:020.00–0.091:100.00–0.09
Ristolainen–Guhle4:350.01–0.091:250.07–0.000:300.02–0.001:320.04–0.001:470.08–0.014:430.06–0.152:020.06–0.040:450.00–0.06
Scandella–Nelson0:470.05–0.150:300.00–0.001:480.04–0.001:560.00–0.091:220.00–0.034:000.19–0.192:360.11–0.000:420.08–0.030:560.00–0.030:410.00–0.09
Falk–Beaulieu4:070.00–0.200:500.00–0.020:310.00–0.001:110.00–0.092:100.00–0.000:510.00–0.024:320.08–0.130:550.06–0.050:390.00–0.00
Scandella–Ristolainen0:460.00–0.030:330.00–0.000:460.00–0.001:130.04–0.002:280.04–0.010:530.00–0.00
Guhle–Nelson0:320.00–0.000:360.00–0.001:200.00–0.00
Ristolainen–Nelson0:480.00–0.140:380.00–0.040:340.02–0.06
Falk–Ristolainen0:460.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:380.02–0.00
Falk–Guhle1:010.00–0.100:590.00–0.10
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndEichel FGirgensons FPominville FOkposo FWilson FO'Reilly FReinhart FMittelstadt FRodrigues FBaptiste FNolan FLarsson FScandella DNelson DGuhle DRistolainen DFalk DBeaulieu DLehner GJohnson GMantha FHelm FLarkin FNyquist FBertuzzi FZetterberg FAbdelkader FNielsen FAthanasiou FGlendening FFrk FSvechnikov FEricsson DDaley DHicketts DDeKeyser DJensen DKronwall DHoward G
BUFDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2827:531:003:2174
Marco ScandellaBUF2423:470:592:4564
Danny DeKeyserDET2922:000:461:3618
Jack EichelBUF2221:080:583:1251
Dylan LarkinDET2420:090:501:4843
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2419:400:492:1479
Joe HickettsDET2319:200:501:4525
Nick JensenDET2319:050:502:2923
Casey NelsonBUF2417:520:451:0523
Anthony ManthaDET2017:270:521:4922
Trevor DaleyDET2417:250:442:2425
Frans NielsenDET2417:100:431:3483
Jonathan EricssonDET2316:500:441:2913
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2216:490:461:3034
Brendan GuhleBUF2416:350:411:2271
Niklas KronwallDET2316:300:431:2552
Justin FalkBUF2316:200:431:2317
Henrik ZetterbergDET2116:150:461:3125
Johan LarssonBUF1816:130:541:3007
Sam ReinhartBUF1715:400:551:5763
Scott WilsonBUF1915:250:491:1663
Tyler BertuzziDET2015:130:461:1525
Kyle OkposoBUF1615:040:572:0973
Gustav NyquistDET2015:040:451:3125
Darren HelmDET1915:000:471:3922
Justin AbdelkaderDET2114:130:411:3264
Martin FrkDET1613:420:511:5142
Jason PominvilleBUF1813:410:461:3040
Luke GlendeningDET2013:210:401:2839
Casey MittelstadtBUF1812:530:431:1042
Andreas AthanasiouDET1912:320:401:1571
Evgeny SvechnikovDET1611:420:441:0311
Evan RodriguesBUF1611:300:431:1052
Nathan BeaulieuBUF1311:010:511:2615
Nick BaptisteBUF1110:220:571:1514
Jordan NolanBUF118:220:461:1600