Thu, Mar 29, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Detroit Red Wings 6, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 59% of the time.
30%
11%
8%
51%
BUF winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 22:00 | 0.11 | 62.0% | +15.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 20:09 | 0.24 | 46.0% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 19:20 | 0.05 | 63.3% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:05 | 0.07 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:27 | 0.37 | 49.6% | +25.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:25 | 0.01 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.17 | 58.9% | +45.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:50 | 0.02 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:30 | 0.02 | 59.0% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 16:15 | 0.14 | 70.7% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:13 | 0.04 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.34 | 66.8% | +15.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.20 | 30.5% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.02 | 58.0% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:42 | 0.18 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.30 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:32 | 0.40 | 81.7% | +17.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 11:42 | 0.07 | 54.2% | +13.1 |
| W | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 2.15 | −0.8 | 59:45 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 27:53 | 0.12 | 37.8% | +10.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 23:47 | 0.00 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:08 | 0.30 | 65.0% | +19.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 19:40 | 0.29 | 57.6% | +10.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.03 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:49 | 0.16 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.02 | 37.2% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:20 | 0.00 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:13 | 0.20 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.00 | 21.4% | +10.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:25 | 0.37 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:04 | 0.31 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:41 | 0.09 | 77.1% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 12:53 | 0.09 | 21.3% | +16.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 11:30 | 0.14 | 24.4% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:01 | 0.00 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:22 | 0.00 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 8:22 | 0.04 | 29.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 12 | 9 | 3 | .750 | 1.12 | −1.9 | 19:43 | |
| – | 20 | 17 | 3 | .850 | 1.65 | −1.4 | 40:00 |