Sun, Apr 1, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Nashville Predators 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 55% of the time.
34%
11%
9%
46%
TBL winsNSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Turris–Hartman–Fiala | Smith–Johansen–Forsberg | Fisher–Watson–Salomaki | Bonino–Sissons–Tolvanen | Subban–Ekholm | Josi–Ellis | Irwin–Bitetto | Ekholm–Bitetto | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kunitz–Callahan–Paquette | 1:390.00–0.03 | 1:500.00–0.09 | 1:580.00–0.00 | 1:130.14–0.00 | 1:560.09–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 4:230.11–0.13 | |
| Killorn–Palat–Cirelli | 3:010.05–0.11 | 1:030.09–0.03 | 2:360.08–0.01 | 0:540.03–0.00 | 2:060.00–0.05 | 1:420.08–0.01 | 3:080.12–0.09 | 0:410.04–0.00 |
| Johnson–Gourde–Point | 0:590.00–0.00 | 2:140.03–0.01 | 2:120.00–0.00 | 2:580.00–0.01 | 3:110.06–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Miller | 1:080.13–0.08 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 1:350.13–0.10 | 1:510.13–0.08 | |||
| Kucherov–Miller–Point | 0:400.00–0.00 | 2:380.00–0.26 | 2:470.00–0.26 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||
| Kucherov–Gourde–Point | 1:210.03–0.00 | 1:130.03–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||
| Kunitz–Paquette–Cirelli | 0:410.02–0.00 | 0:410.02–0.00 | ||||||
| Palat–Kucherov–Point | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | |||||
| Palat–Kucherov–Cirelli | 0:400.00–0.17 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.12 | 0:400.00–0.05 | ||||
| Kunitz–Miller–Paquette | 0:460.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Stralman–Hedman | 3:080.13–0.23 | 4:030.12–0.29 | 0:440.00–0.01 | 2:440.14–0.00 | 6:280.14–0.42 | 4:280.25–0.11 | 1:330.03–0.00 | |
| Coburn–Sergachev | 3:350.05–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 2:020.11–0.00 | 2:430.00–0.27 | 2:230.01–0.00 | |||
| Girardi–McDonagh | 3:110.13–0.03 | 2:130.08–0.10 | 1:300.05–0.00 | 3:240.08–0.12 | 0:380.07–0.00 | 2:460.07–0.01 | 0:320.04–0.00 | |
| Stralman–McDonagh | 1:150.00–0.07 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 2:090.03–0.07 | ||||
| Hedman–Sergachev | 0:540.00–0.09 | 1:360.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:200.00–0.01 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 1:200.00–0.09 | ||
| McDonagh–Sergachev | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 0:530.03–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 2:070.03–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.00 | ||
| Girardi–Hedman | 1:560.02–0.02 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:430.02–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.02 | |||
| Coburn–Stralman | 0:400.00–0.10 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.10 | |||||
| Coburn–Girardi | 0:320.00–0.09 | 0:360.24–0.03 | 1:180.24–0.12 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 27 | 25:32 | 0:57 | 1:50 | 5 | 3 |
 P.K. SubbanNSH | 30 | 23:50 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 6 | 4 |
 Mattias EkholmNSH | 29 | 23:22 | 0:48 | 1:32 | 6 | 5 |
 Roman JosiNSH | 33 | 23:02 | 0:42 | 1:48 | 2 | 6 |
 Ryan EllisNSH | 33 | 22:52 | 0:42 | 2:16 | 1 | 6 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 23 | 21:47 | 0:57 | 2:17 | 6 | 2 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 27 | 21:35 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 2 | 2 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 22 | 19:16 | 0:53 | 1:30 | 4 | 4 |
 J.T. MillerTBL | 23 | 19:05 | 0:50 | 2:26 | 6 | 1 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 19 | 19:00 | 1:00 | 2:08 | 3 | 2 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 25 | 18:56 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 4 | 6 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 22 | 17:55 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 3 | 3 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 22 | 17:47 | 0:49 | 2:06 | 6 | 2 |
 Nick BoninoNSH | 24 | 16:31 | 0:41 | 1:28 | 1 | 8 |
 Colton SissonsNSH | 26 | 16:04 | 0:37 | 1:01 | 2 | 6 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 23 | 16:00 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 6 | 3 |
 Kyle TurrisNSH | 19 | 15:27 | 0:49 | 1:17 | 3 | 0 |
 Ryan JohansenNSH | 25 | 15:20 | 0:37 | 1:04 | 6 | 2 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 18 | 15:04 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 2 | 2 |
 Ryan HartmanNSH | 21 | 14:57 | 0:43 | 1:17 | 3 | 1 |
 Dan GirardiTBL | 21 | 14:28 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 1 | 5 |
 Mike FisherNSH | 22 | 14:14 | 0:39 | 1:28 | 0 | 7 |
 Austin WatsonNSH | 20 | 14:13 | 0:43 | 1:08 | 0 | 4 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 22 | 13:54 | 0:38 | 1:04 | 3 | 4 |
 Anthony BitettoNSH | 23 | 13:46 | 0:36 | 0:58 | 1 | 1 |
 Kevin FialaNSH | 18 | 13:44 | 0:46 | 1:03 | 3 | 1 |
 Craig SmithNSH | 21 | 13:42 | 0:39 | 1:10 | 5 | 2 |
 Filip ForsbergNSH | 22 | 13:37 | 0:37 | 1:04 | 5 | 2 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 18 | 12:53 | 0:43 | 1:14 | 2 | 1 |
 Matt IrwinNSH | 22 | 12:48 | 0:35 | 0:58 | 1 | 1 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 15 | 12:29 | 0:50 | 1:25 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris KunitzTBL | 16 | 12:20 | 0:46 | 1:10 | 2 | 2 |
 Miikka SalomakiNSH | 16 | 11:24 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 0 | 4 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 16 | 11:20 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 2 | 2 |
 Eeli TolvanenNSH | 16 | 11:07 | 0:42 | 1:00 | 2 | 0 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 9 | 7:22 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 3 | 0 |