Fri, Apr 6, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:30Goal by Cirelli (Gourde)+20 pts WP
On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, McDonagh, Gourde, Cirelli · BUF Scandella, O'Reilly, Reinhart, Nelson, Nylander
- P1 0:46Shot by Palat, saved by Johnson
- P1 1:13Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 1:16Hedman: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)
On ice: TBL Girardi, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point · BUF Okposo, Wilson, Beaulieu, Eichel, Guhle
- P1 1:15Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 2:41Shot by Scandella, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P1 2:57Goal by Mittelstadt (Scandella, Rodrigues)4v5+20 pts WP
On ice: TBL Coburn, Girardi, Palat, Point · BUF Pominville, Scandella, Baptiste, Rodrigues, Mittelstadt
- P1 3:24Shot by Larsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 3:25Shot by Wilson, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 4:35Goal by Kucherov, unassisted+20 pts WP
On ice: TBL Girardi, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point · BUF Okposo, Wilson, Ristolainen, Eichel, Guhle
- P1 4:54Shot by Johnson, saved by Johnson
- P1 5:19Shot by Gourde, saved by Johnson
- P1 5:33Shot by Sergachev, saved by Johnson
- P1 5:39Shot by Gourde, saved by Johnson
- P1 6:32Goal by Nylander (Guhle, Ristolainen)+20 pts WP
On ice: TBL Kunitz, Coburn, Callahan, Paquette, Sergachev · BUF O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Guhle, Nylander
- P1 7:47Shot by Miller, saved by Johnson
- P1 9:04Shot by Baptiste, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 9:40Goal by Gourde (Killorn)+20 pts WP
On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, McDonagh, Gourde, Cirelli · BUF O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Guhle, Nylander
- P1 12:19Shot by Callahan, saved by Johnson
- P1 15:53Shot by Killorn, saved by Johnson
- P1 16:09Shot by Killorn, saved by Johnson
- P1 16:11Shot by Hedman, saved by Johnson
- P1 17:22Conacher: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Coburn, Johnson, Conacher, Miller, Sergachev · BUF Pominville, Falk, Beaulieu, Rodrigues, Mittelstadt
- P1 18:57Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:40Shot by Killorn, saved by Johnson
- P2 1:04Goal by Girardi (Kucherov, Palat)+13 pts WP
On ice: TBL Girardi, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point · BUF Okposo, Scandella, Wilson, Eichel, Nelson
- P2 3:18Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 3:30Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 4:00Shot by Wilson, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 4:24Scandella: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Coburn, McDonagh, Palat, Gourde, Cirelli · BUF Okposo, Scandella, Wilson, Eichel, Nelson
- P2 4:24Scandella: Roughing (2 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Coburn, McDonagh, Palat, Gourde, Cirelli · BUF Okposo, Scandella, Wilson, Eichel, Nelson
- P2 6:14Shot by Kucherov, saved by Johnson5v4
- P2 6:24Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P2 7:22Shot by Hedman, saved by Johnson5v4
- P2 8:26Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 8:28Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 8:52Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 8:59Goal by Pominville (Guhle, Rodrigues)+13 pts WP
On ice: TBL Girardi, Johnson, Hedman, Conacher, Miller · BUF Pominville, Ristolainen, Guhle, Rodrigues, Mittelstadt
- P2 9:55Miller: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Coburn, McDonagh, Kucherov, Miller, Point · BUF Pominville, Wilson, Ristolainen, Eichel, Guhle
- P2 10:37Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 11:57Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 13:02Shot by Johnson, saved by Johnson
- P2 15:58Goal by Nolan (Larsson)+24 pts WP
On ice: TBL Stralman, McDonagh, Palat, Kucherov, Point · BUF Falk, Nolan, Larsson, Beaulieu, Baptiste
- P2 16:26Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 15:56Shot by Nolan, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 17:46Killorn: Hooking (2 min)5v6
On ice: TBL Coburn, Johnson, Conacher, Miller, Sergachev · BUF Pominville, Okposo, Scandella, Wilson, Eichel, Nelson
- P2 17:52Shot by Okposo, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 18:24Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 18:45Goal by Okposo (Eichel, O'Reilly)4v5+26 pts WP
On ice: TBL Callahan, Stralman, McDonagh, Paquette · BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel
- P2 19:50Scandella: High sticking (2 min)6v5
On ice: TBL Girardi, Hedman, Palat, Miller, Gourde, Point · BUF Scandella, Nolan, Larsson, Wilson, Nelson
- P2 0:00Period end5v4
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:49Shot by Killorn, saved by Johnson5v4
- P3 1:55Shot by Palat, saved by Johnson
- P3 2:33Shot by McDonagh, saved by Johnson
- P3 2:53Shot by Paquette, saved by Johnson
- P3 3:56Shot by Callahan, saved by Johnson
- P3 4:27Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 6:09Shot by Kucherov, saved by Johnson
- P3 6:15Goal by Cirelli (Killorn, Sergachev)+31 pts WP
On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Gourde, Cirelli, Sergachev · BUF Scandella, O'Reilly, Larsson, Reinhart, Nelson
- P3 7:02Goal by Point (Killorn, Gourde)+28 pts WP
On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, McDonagh, Gourde, Point · BUF O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Guhle, Nylander
- P3 7:28Shot by Palat, saved by Johnson
- P3 7:58Shot by Stralman, saved by Johnson
- P3 8:19Conacher: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Stralman, McDonagh, Johnson, Conacher, Miller · BUF Pominville, Falk, Beaulieu, Rodrigues, Mittelstadt
- P3 9:36Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P3 11:03Shot by Kucherov, saved by Johnson
- P3 11:08Shot by Girardi, saved by Johnson
- P3 12:08Shot by Conacher, saved by Johnson
- P3 12:14Shot by Cirelli, saved by Johnson
- P3 12:45Shot by Pominville, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 12:52Shot by Killorn, saved by Johnson
- P3 15:45Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 17:28Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 17:37Shot by Guhle, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 17:47Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 18:34Goal by Hedman (Vasilevskiy)5v6+4 pts WP
On ice: TBL Girardi, Killorn, Hedman, Gourde, Cirelli · BUF O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Guhle, Rodrigues, Nylander
- P3 0:00Period end5v6
- P3 0:00Final5v6