Fri, Apr 6, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.
50%
11%
9%
30%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus RistolainenD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 26:52 | 0.13 | 52.7% | +20.1 |
 Jack EichelC · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 21:39 | 0.54 | 46.7% | +26.1 |
 Marco ScandellaD · #6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 20:27 | 0.06 | 36.7% | +20.2 |
 Ryan O'ReillyC · #90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −4 | 2 | 19:36 | 0.06 | 26.9% | +26.1 |
 Casey NelsonD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 19:30 | 0.00 | 1.5% | 0.0 |
 Brendan GuhleD · #45 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 1 | 19:15 | 0.07 | 49.6% | +32.8 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 18:40 | 0.09 | 14.2% | +26.1 |
 Sam ReinhartC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.11 | 30.1% | 0.0 |
 Scott WilsonC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:27 | 0.07 | 24.3% | 0.0 |
 Johan LarssonLW · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.03 | 50.2% | +23.7 |
 Jason PominvilleRW · #29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:10 | 0.07 | 41.4% | +12.7 |
 Justin FalkD · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:26 | 0.00 | 64.0% | 0.0 |
 Evan RodriguesC · #71 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14:17 | 0.12 | 60.7% | +32.9 |
 Casey MittelstadtC · #37 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 13:32 | 0.10 | 62.1% | +20.2 |
 Nick BaptisteRW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:21 | 0.15 | 58.1% | 0.0 |
 Nathan BeaulieuD · #82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:01 | 0.02 | 62.3% | 0.0 |
 Alex NylanderLW · #92 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 10:29 | 0.05 | 38.0% | +20.1 |
 Jordan NolanC · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 8:58 | 0.29 | 54.9% | +23.7 |
 Chad Johnson#31 | L | 33 | 27 | 6 | .818 | 1.97 | −4.0 | 57:54 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 26:11 | 0.53 | 54.5% | +4.1 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:25 | 0.02 | 65.9% | 0.0 |
 Anton StralmanD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:49 | 0.02 | 64.7% | 0.0 |
 Dan GirardiD · #5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:54 | 0.10 | 56.5% | +12.6 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.22 | 50.1% | +27.8 |
 J.T. MillerC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:08 | 0.00 | 52.9% | 0.0 |
 Tyler JohnsonC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:25 | 0.06 | 69.5% | 0.0 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 5 | 16:47 | 0.29 | 60.8% | +79.5 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 16:28 | 0.16 | 44.6% | +32.5 |
 Ondrej PalatLW · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:40 | 0.16 | 37.3% | +12.6 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 3 | 13:33 | 0.28 | 77.4% | +51.1 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 3 | 13:26 | 0.22 | 67.2% | +67.8 |
 Mikhail SergachevD · #98 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.08 | 42.8% | +31.4 |
 Cory ConacherC · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:37 | 0.05 | 29.6% | 0.0 |
 Ryan CallahanRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:31 | 0.04 | 44.5% | 0.0 |
 Cedric PaquetteC · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:20 | 0.09 | 51.5% | 0.0 |
 Braydon CoburnD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:16 | 0.06 | 76.2% | 0.0 |
 Chris KunitzLW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:27 | 0.08 | 53.8% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 32 | 27 | 5 | .844 | 1.98 | −3.0 | 59:27 |