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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 16, 2018·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Buffalo Sabres 1, Vegas Golden Knights 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 74% of the time.

VGK winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Sheary–Reinhart–EichelOkposo–Skinner–MittelstadtSobotka–Berglund–ThompsonPominville–Girgensons–RodriguesPominville–Sobotka–GirgensonsSobotka–Okposo–BerglundSkinner–Thompson–MittelstadtBogosian–BeaulieuScandella–RistolainenMcCabe–DahlinScandella–McCabe
Smith–Karlsson–Marchessault4:380.18–0.003:170.17–0.112:000.14–0.000:450.09–0.000:320.00–0.002:450.05–0.005:280.18–0.001:210.06–0.000:430.00–0.11
Pacioretty–Haula–Hyka2:010.01–0.150:470.00–0.001:570.08–0.020:360.15–0.001:390.08–0.000:440.00–0.003:500.16–0.170:450.00–0.00
Reaves–Carrier–Bellemare1:220.13–0.002:140.43–0.011:580.14–0.090:540.00–0.111:440.00–0.111:430.00–0.042:350.56–0.090:400.00–0.00
Eakin–Carpenter–Nosek1:450.02–0.000:590.00–0.041:560.04–0.061:060.02–0.000:360.00–0.003:280.04–0.062:260.04–0.040:370.00–0.00
Pacioretty–Haula–Marchessault0:540.17–0.001:080.17–0.08
McNabb–Miller6:430.28–0.162:230.14–0.001:050.04–0.090:320.00–0.003:450.09–0.164:480.15–0.002:460.22–0.090:330.00–0.00
Holden–Theodore1:560.02–0.002:130.01–0.333:430.16–0.061:350.04–0.022:310.07–0.063:570.02–0.083:140.15–0.310:450.00–0.00
Merrill–Hunt1:370.06–0.002:100.36–0.002:250.16–0.000:360.15–0.000:490.00–0.003:350.01–0.002:060.02–0.002:270.36–0.00
Miller–Theodore1:090.06–0.000:330.00–0.08
Merrill–Theodore0:440.08–0.000:500.00–0.080:440.08–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSmith FKarlsson FMarchessault FHyka FHaula FPacioretty FEakin FCarpenter FNosek FCarrier FBellemare FReaves FMcNabb DMiller DTheodore DHolden DMerrill DHunt DFleury GEichel FReinhart FSheary FOkposo FMittelstadt FSkinner FBerglund FSobotka FThompson FGirgensons FPominville FRodrigues FScandella DRistolainen DMcCabe DDahlin DBogosian DBeaulieu DHutton G
VGKBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF3024:290:491:4479
Colin MillerVGK2723:320:521:4825
Brayden McNabbVGK2622:420:522:2916
Jack EichelBUF2521:530:532:4763
Nick HoldenVGK2720:390:462:4057
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK2219:550:542:2951
Sam ReinhartBUF2319:530:521:2971
Shea TheodoreVGK3119:470:381:1885
Reilly SmithVGK2119:440:562:5942
William KarlssonVGK2119:380:562:5444
Rasmus DahlinBUF2619:060:441:3754
Conor ShearyBUF2218:350:511:2261
Marco ScandellaBUF2418:240:461:1145
Kyle OkposoBUF1817:561:002:0540
Casey MittelstadtBUF2317:540:471:4451
Cody EakinVGK1917:510:561:3923
Jeff SkinnerBUF1917:500:561:3751
Zach BogosianBUF2416:090:401:3507
Jon MerrillVGK2716:050:361:1864
Nathan BeaulieuBUF2215:580:441:3514
Jake McCabeBUF2515:520:381:3336
Vladimir SobotkaBUF1915:490:501:1217
Tage ThompsonBUF2015:450:471:2046
Brad HuntVGK2114:110:412:0572
Max PaciorettyVGK1813:240:451:4552
Ryan CarpenterVGK1813:230:451:2723
Pierre-Edouard BellemareVGK1512:560:521:2426
Evan RodriguesBUF2212:530:351:1325
Erik HaulaVGK1912:340:401:2232
Tomas NosekVGK1712:240:441:1526
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1912:240:391:1305
Tomas HykaVGK1710:220:371:1343
Patrik BerglundBUF139:370:441:1206
William CarrierVGK109:360:581:3720
Ryan ReavesVGK109:210:561:1121
Jason PominvilleBUF159:190:371:0800