Sat, Oct 20, 2018·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Minnesota Wild 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.
33%
8%
8%
51%
MIN winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 23:03 | 0.31 | 55.6% | +14.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 22:24 | 0.28 | 22.8% | +58.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:01 | 0.13 | 41.8% | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 19:43 | 0.78 | 46.9% | +55.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:55 | 0.23 | 61.0% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:38 | 0.07 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:08 | 0.30 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 18:01 | 0.19 | 39.7% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:00 | 0.27 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:58 | 0.21 | 46.1% | +41.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 15:48 | 0.14 | 33.8% | +32.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:38 | 0.11 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:56 | 0.04 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:18 | 0.12 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:10 | 0.01 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:20 | 0.12 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:23 | 0.03 | 20.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 10:40 | 0.17 | 25.0% | +17.3 |
| O | 34 | 29 | 5 | .853 | 2.98 | −2.0 | 63:27 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:48 | 0.23 | 59.3% | +38.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 24:45 | 0.00 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:54 | 0.50 | 79.0% | +31.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:56 | 0.10 | 50.3% | +31.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:49 | 0.00 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 21:13 | 0.36 | 77.1% | +31.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:16 | 0.28 | 77.6% | +53.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:01 | 0.11 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:09 | 0.25 | 42.4% | +67.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:48 | 0.43 | 67.5% | +38.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.02 | 81.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:40 | 0.02 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:11 | 0.12 | 20.7% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:59 | 0.02 | 2.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:53 | 0.15 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:51 | 0.11 | 58.4% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:41 | 0.26 | 56.9% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 5:28 | 0.03 | 58.9% | +15.1 |
| W | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 3.52 | −0.5 | 63:43 |