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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 19, 2018·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Nashville Predators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 54% of the time.

NSH winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stamkos–Kucherov–MillerJohnson–Gourde–PointKillorn–Joseph–CirelliJohnson–Kucherov–PointCallahan–Johnson–ErneGourde–Joseph–CirelliCallahan–Joseph–CirelliCallahan–Stamkos–ErneCallahan–Erne–PointKillorn–Johnson–JosephGirardi–HedmanCoburn–SergachevMcDonagh–CernakMcDonagh–KoekkoekHedman–SergachevMcDonagh–SergachevGirardi–McDonaghCoburn–KoekkoekHedman–CernakCoburn–CernakGirardi–KoekkoekCoburn–GirardiMcDonagh–HedmanCoburn–McDonagh
Smith–Johansen–Forsberg4:220.23–0.053:050.04–0.120:540.00–0.210:380.00–0.001:180.04–0.071:000.00–0.030:430.00–0.000:550.00–0.023:110.05–0.120:350.01–0.121:430.13–0.030:530.01–0.030:440.00–0.100:370.04–0.001:090.02–0.000:550.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:460.00–0.07
Bonino–Watson–Sissons3:410.18–0.182:420.11–0.031:100.09–0.040:430.04–0.000:410.00–0.002:540.07–0.000:420.00–0.001:090.02–0.022:000.14–0.180:400.02–0.041:030.00–0.000:510.00–0.040:370.02–0.00
Turris–Jarnkrok–Hartman0:390.05–0.004:130.27–0.041:520.12–0.080:340.00–0.002:390.33–0.081:580.09–0.111:090.00–0.001:240.04–0.000:350.02–0.000:450.05–0.00
Salomaki–Gaudreau–Fiala0:300.05–0.001:240.25–0.000:300.00–0.080:460.00–0.001:180.23–0.001:350.00–0.100:420.03–0.000:380.08–0.000:300.05–0.00
Turris–Smith–Hartman0:350.00–0.00
Josi–Ellis3:160.20–0.185:050.14–0.101:340.20–0.034:040.21–0.330:510.00–0.033:290.23–0.081:500.08–0.001:440.00–0.131:420.01–0.333:060.29–0.061:460.02–0.000:340.00–0.100:580.02–0.000:490.00–0.000:350.00–0.001:090.24–0.000:540.00–0.18
Hamhuis–Ekholm6:090.30–0.052:110.09–0.080:460.13–0.000:420.08–0.001:050.04–0.000:490.02–0.003:450.21–0.030:370.00–0.021:490.07–0.031:480.14–0.000:490.00–0.001:430.12–0.031:380.08–0.040:560.04–0.001:130.02–0.030:420.00–0.00
Weber–Bitetto2:280.14–0.001:470.19–0.000:430.00–0.000:430.00–0.130:530.03–0.061:140.19–0.003:030.09–0.210:580.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:460.04–0.000:490.00–0.060:350.00–0.00
Weber–Josi0:330.01–0.000:350.00–0.000:310.01–0.00
Josi–Bitetto0:470.00–0.09
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndForsberg FSmith FJohansen FSissons FBonino FWatson FJarnkrok FTurris FHartman FSalomaki FGaudreau FFiala FEllis DJosi DHamhuis DEkholm DBitetto DWeber DRinne GJohnson FPoint FGourde FMiller FKucherov FStamkos FErne FKillorn FJoseph FCallahan FCirelli FMcDonagh DCernak DGirardi DHedman DSergachev DCoburn DKoekkoek DDomingue G
NSHTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH2926:530:562:3445
Ryan EllisNSH2726:290:592:4735
Victor HedmanTBL2723:280:522:0362
Tyler JohnsonTBL2622:030:511:4552
Mattias EkholmNSH2822:000:471:4038
Nikita KucherovTBL2421:440:541:3674
Ryan McDonaghTBL2621:330:501:2826
Brayden PointTBL2320:030:521:4251
Filip ForsbergNSH2519:140:461:4661
Dan HamhuisNSH2619:140:441:3038
Nick BoninoNSH2419:020:481:46110
Ryan JohansenNSH2518:540:451:4671
J.T. MillerTBL2118:350:531:3255
Mikhail SergachevTBL1918:110:571:2513
Steven StamkosTBL2218:100:501:3266
Colton SissonsNSH2318:090:471:2038
Calle JarnkrokNSH2118:020:521:3011
Dan GirardiTBL2117:540:511:3544
Austin WatsonNSH2117:110:491:3018
Yanni GourdeTBL2317:010:441:3012
Craig SmithNSH2316:220:431:1471
Anthony CirelliTBL2215:450:431:2212
Kyle TurrisNSH2015:340:471:2021
Braydon CoburnTBL2114:250:411:4412
Ryan HartmanNSH1912:570:411:1111
Mathieu JosephTBL1812:530:431:1831
Yannick WeberNSH1512:160:491:2230
Anthony BitettoNSH1512:030:481:5030
Ryan CallahanTBL1512:030:481:1917
Alex KillornTBL1812:000:401:0533
Erik CernakTBL1910:220:331:1005
Slater KoekkoekTBL139:370:441:2300
Adam ErneTBL139:280:441:1924
Miikka SalomakiNSH117:260:411:0421
Kevin FialaNSH117:090:391:0421
Frederick GaudreauNSH107:050:431:0421