Wed, Nov 21, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Philadelphia Flyers 2, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 77% of the time.
69%
9%
14%
BUF winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:58 | 0.03 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:20 | 0.00 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 21:06 | 0.42 | 43.8% | +3.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:40 | 0.13 | 44.9% | +3.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 19:49 | 0.16 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:45 | 0.14 | 48.0% | +3.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:42 | 0.02 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:41 | 0.00 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.23 | 95.0% | +6.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:26 | 0.00 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:05 | 0.00 | 72.3% | +6.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:09 | 0.18 | 97.4% | +6.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:36 | 0.12 | 91.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:38 | 0.00 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:53 | 0.07 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:35 | 0.05 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:39 | 0.07 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:20 | 0.15 | 50.5% | 0.0 |
| – | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.44 | +0.4 | 39:22 | |
| L | 12 | 8 | 4 | .667 | 1.36 | −2.6 | 20:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:06 | 0.02 | 36.6% | +4.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:11 | 0.00 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:44 | 0.07 | 57.8% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:37 | 0.00 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:33 | 0.74 | 51.8% | +0.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:48 | 0.72 | 27.6% | +8.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:04 | 0.02 | 7.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:26 | 0.04 | 55.3% | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 15:55 | 0.48 | 56.8% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:36 | 0.00 | 21.7% | +12.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:28 | 0.58 | 54.4% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:18 | 0.06 | 12.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:06 | 0.02 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:02 | 0.00 | 25.7% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:56 | 0.01 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:33 | 0.22 | 57.1% | +4.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 12:03 | 0.20 | 25.9% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:34 | 0.00 | 60.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 1.79 | −0.2 | 60:00 |