Thu, Dec 6, 2018·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Montréal Canadiens 5, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 85% of the time.
9%
78%
OTT winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:35 | 0.06 | 59.9% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:06 | 0.01 | 68.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 21:30 | 0.19 | 73.2% | +30.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 21:20 | 0.06 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:53 | 0.24 | 60.7% | +15.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:42 | 0.54 | 65.4% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:10 | 0.02 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:28 | 0.06 | 76.8% | +15.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16:11 | 0.88 | 71.0% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:59 | 0.00 | 74.4% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.06 | 75.1% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:55 | 0.03 | 96.2% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:45 | 0.11 | 64.0% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:44 | 0.01 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.02 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 12:31 | 0.91 | 64.6% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 12:08 | 0.19 | 83.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:40 | 0.05 | 83.8% | +15.5 |
| W | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 1.45 | −0.6 | 59:57 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 25:51 | 0.02 | 18.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 24:40 | 0.14 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:35 | 0.00 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 19:51 | 0.07 | 34.6% | +29.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:31 | 0.01 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:06 | 0.06 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −3 | 4 | 16:47 | 0.37 | 24.2% | +29.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.09 | 23.4% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:24 | 0.03 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:57 | 0.21 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:45 | 0.01 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:22 | 0.17 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:41 | 0.00 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:37 | 0.00 | 17.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.14 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:58 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:04 | 0.00 | 17.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:05 | 0.14 | 52.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 42 | 38 | 4 | .905 | 2.77 | −1.2 | 59:55 |