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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 6, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Boston Bruins 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 52% of the time.

TBL winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Krejci–Nordstrom–DeBruskDonato–Forsbacka Karlsson–AcciariMarchand–Cave–PastrnakBackes–Kuraly–HeinenKrejci–Marchand–PastrnakBackes–Donato–Forsbacka KarlssonNordstrom–Cave–DeBruskNordstrom–Cave–HeinenMoore–McAvoyKrug–CarloGrzelcyk–CarloKampfer–KrugKampfer–GrzelcykGrzelcyk–McAvoyKrug–McAvoyKampfer–MooreMoore–Carlo
Johnson–Kucherov–Point1:230.12–0.001:100.00–0.005:020.63–0.101:060.09–0.011:500.13–0.096:160.73–0.040:470.12–0.001:480.00–0.000:330.02–0.001:140.09–0.16
Stamkos–Palat–Gourde0:350.00–0.012:080.04–0.042:340.15–0.060:450.00–0.140:410.00–0.001:020.00–0.000:410.00–0.021:430.00–0.143:030.16–0.381:190.00–0.061:250.06–0.030:330.00–0.002:090.00–0.02
Killorn–Miller–Cirelli2:590.12–0.030:550.05–0.000:580.00–0.140:370.00–0.062:020.08–0.110:430.00–0.000:590.00–0.121:250.00–0.001:110.05–0.00
Callahan–Paquette–Joseph0:450.00–0.003:270.00–0.001:570.04–0.021:490.04–0.051:280.00–0.002:010.00–0.020:330.00–0.00
Killorn–Joseph–Cirelli1:270.10–0.120:310.00–0.000:570.10–0.06
Callahan–Miller–Paquette0:550.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Palat–Gourde–Cirelli1:140.00–0.001:140.00–0.00
Girardi–Hedman2:270.08–0.023:380.00–0.022:350.28–0.001:580.09–0.011:150.00–0.120:330.00–0.024:590.45–0.012:010.08–0.011:430.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:470.00–0.001:530.00–0.141:150.00–0.02
McDonagh–Cernak0:470.00–0.041:140.05–0.031:400.25–0.142:080.12–0.002:560.20–0.171:050.00–0.030:450.00–0.002:040.34–0.111:580.12–0.341:550.00–0.122:350.06–0.031:260.05–0.030:510.00–0.000:590.02–0.020:490.10–0.01
Coburn–Sergachev5:120.04–0.002:140.04–0.001:060.09–0.082:250.07–0.071:170.00–0.022:400.08–0.082:320.00–0.061:300.00–0.022:000.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:490.08–0.000:440.09–0.08
Hedman–Sergachev0:420.00–0.110:510.00–0.001:080.00–0.000:560.00–0.11
McDonagh–Sergachev0:370.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Girardi–McDonagh0:440.00–0.140:440.00–0.140:420.00–0.00
Coburn–Cernak0:310.00–0.000:310.15–0.000:310.00–0.00
Hedman–Cernak
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJoseph FPaquette FCallahan FJohnson FPoint FKucherov FMiller FKillorn FCirelli FPalat FGourde FStamkos FGirardi DHedman DMcDonagh DCernak DCoburn DSergachev DDomingue GBackes FHeinen FKuraly FKrejci FMarchand FPastrnak FNordstrom FDeBrusk FDonato FCave FForsbacka Karlsson FAcciari FCarlo DGrzelcyk DMoore DMcAvoy DKampfer DKrug DRask G
TBLBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan McDonaghTBL2523:540:571:5526
Torey KrugBOS2923:470:492:3372
Charlie McAvoyBOS3021:020:421:1083
Brad MarchandBOS2320:590:552:0641
Victor HedmanTBL2220:580:572:1232
David KrejciBOS2220:050:551:5971
Erik CernakTBL2420:000:501:2217
Yanni GourdeTBL1919:561:032:3131
Brandon CarloBOS3119:450:381:2325
Dan GirardiTBL2219:400:542:4332
David PastrnakBOS2419:330:491:3460
Matt GrzelcykBOS2918:370:391:1422
Mikhail SergachevTBL1918:170:581:5121
John MooreBOS2717:550:401:1843
Brayden PointTBL2017:030:511:3825
Steven StamkosTBL1816:200:542:2923
Joakim NordstromBOS2015:570:481:1644
Braydon CoburnTBL1915:550:501:2723
Nikita KucherovTBL2015:370:471:3825
Ryan DonatoBOS2015:340:471:1530
Anthony CirelliTBL2215:210:421:1636
Steven KampferBOS2515:190:371:2410
Jake DeBruskBOS1815:030:501:3062
Colby CaveBOS2014:550:451:1623
Alex KillornTBL1914:410:461:1534
David BackesBOS1914:270:461:5912
Ondrej PalatTBL1613:440:521:5523
Tyler JohnsonTBL1913:250:421:3133
Noel AcciariBOS1613:160:501:4812
Mathieu JosephTBL1913:000:411:0520
J.T. MillerTBL1812:570:431:0835
Cedric PaquetteTBL2012:500:391:1323
Danton HeinenBOS1812:490:431:2514
Ryan CallahanTBL1912:260:391:1521
Jakob Forsbacka KarlssonBOS1512:230:501:1920
Sean KuralyBOS158:020:320:5903