Fri, Dec 21, 2018·Capital One Arena, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 1, Washington Capitals 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 57% of the time.
35%
8%
10%
47%
WSH winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 24:27 | 0.17 | 68.3% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:59 | 0.02 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:32 | 0.34 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:15 | 0.06 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:05 | 0.30 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 19:40 | 0.78 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:04 | 0.01 | 78.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:49 | 0.05 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:13 | 0.06 | 12.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:16 | 0.30 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.01 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:56 | 0.10 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.20 | 41.1% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:20 | 0.19 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:59 | 0.08 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:08 | 0.09 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:46 | 0.13 | 69.8% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:39 | 0.12 | 62.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 2.62 | +0.6 | 57:52 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:47 | 0.13 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:03 | 0.02 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:22 | 0.04 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:21 | 0.15 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:26 | 0.38 | 14.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:44 | 0.38 | 51.8% | +38.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:32 | 0.09 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:08 | 0.00 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:32 | 0.39 | 51.8% | +38.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:14 | 0.06 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.09 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 15:20 | 0.30 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:57 | 0.02 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:44 | 0.00 | 19.2% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:17 | 0.02 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:46 | 0.21 | 23.0% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:33 | 0.07 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:56 | 0.27 | 57.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 36 | 1 | .973 | 3.00 | +2.0 | 59:54 |