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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 21, 2018·Capital One Arena, Washington

Buffalo Sabres 1, Washington Capitals 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 57% of the time.

WSH winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Skinner–Reinhart–EichelSobotka–Sheary–RodriguesLarsson–Elie–ThompsonOkposo–Elie–MittelstadtLarsson–Girgensons–ThompsonOkposo–Girgensons–MittelstadtBogosian–DahlinRistolainen–PilutScandella–McCabeDahlin–PilutScandella–Ristolainen
Kuznetsov–Wilson–Vrana5:540.37–0.483:090.11–0.060:330.10–0.084:100.29–0.354:040.15–0.231:510.02–0.04
Ovechkin–Oshie–Backstrom2:090.03–0.002:340.03–0.011:180.00–0.101:440.00–0.010:300.00–0.002:410.03–0.013:040.03–0.012:100.00–0.00
Dowd–Smith-Pelly–Stephenson1:260.02–0.061:540.02–0.001:460.00–0.081:440.00–0.140:550.00–0.192:380.04–0.001:030.00–0.050:450.00–0.00
Eller–Connolly–Burakovsky1:560.07–0.091:240.02–0.082:360.00–0.161:080.02–0.081:430.42–0.00
Eller–Connolly–Vrana0:480.00–0.05
Ovechkin–Oshie–Eller0:590.00–0.17
Kuznetsov–Wilson–Burakovsky
Niskanen–Orlov4:350.18–0.333:390.12–0.150:470.00–0.010:560.00–0.001:210.02–0.084:560.16–0.284:000.14–0.193:150.02–0.110:460.00–0.00
Carlson–Kempny5:450.28–0.311:150.00–0.081:410.00–0.101:270.00–0.184:020.13–0.203:130.00–0.393:040.02–0.00
Bowey–Siegenthaler0:310.06–0.002:490.02–0.001:340.00–0.081:420.12–0.150:480.07–0.003:050.10–0.232:480.06–0.193:100.44–0.000:450.00–0.00
Bowey–Kempny0:490.02–0.071:050.00–0.000:330.02–0.001:250.00–0.070:360.00–0.00
Carlson–Orlov0:390.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndVrana FWilson FKuznetsov FOshie FOvechkin FBackstrom FConnolly FEller FBurakovsky FStephenson FSmith-Pelly FDowd FKempny DCarlson DNiskanen DOrlov DBowey DSiegenthaler DHoltby GEichel FReinhart FSkinner FSobotka FSheary FRodrigues FLarsson FGirgensons FMittelstadt FOkposo FElie FThompson FScandella DMcCabe DRistolainen DPilut DBogosian DDahlin DHutton G
WSHBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2424:271:012:1251
John CarlsonWSH2123:471:082:1246
Rasmus DahlinBUF2022:591:092:1241
Jack EichelBUF2022:321:082:1643
Zach BogosianBUF2021:151:042:4333
Matt NiskanenWSH2021:031:033:3313
Dmitry OrlovWSH2020:221:011:4813
Alex OvechkinWSH1620:211:162:1034
Jeff SkinnerBUF1820:051:072:1272
Sam ReinhartBUF1719:401:092:1271
T.J. OshieWSH1719:261:092:0645
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH1618:441:102:0632
Nicklas BackstromWSH1818:321:022:0644
Michal KempnyWSH1918:080:572:0214
Tom WilsonWSH1917:320:551:4913
Lars EllerWSH2117:140:491:2422
Lawrence PilutBUF2017:040:511:3612
Marco ScandellaBUF2116:490:481:3233
Madison BoweyWSH1716:240:581:5011
Jake McCabeBUF2016:130:491:3037
Jakub VranaWSH1615:200:581:3312
Conor ShearyBUF1915:160:481:3211
Vladimir SobotkaBUF1815:150:511:1613
Evan RodriguesBUF2214:560:411:1612
Johan LarssonBUF2014:450:441:2207
Jonas SiegenthalerWSH1812:570:431:2331
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1612:200:461:2216
Nic DowdWSH1711:440:411:3204
Brett ConnollyWSH1311:170:521:2220
Casey MittelstadtBUF1710:590:391:1232
Chandler StephensonWSH1510:460:431:3204
Kyle OkposoBUF1410:080:431:0840
Tage ThompsonBUF139:460:451:2401
Remi ElieBUF129:390:481:2420
Devante Smith-PellyWSH129:330:481:3202
Andre BurakovskyWSH118:560:491:3020