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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 22, 2018·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Washington Capitals 4, Ottawa Senators 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 53% of the time.

OTT winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Eller–Connolly–BurakovskyOvechkin–Oshie–BackstromKuznetsov–Wilson–VranaDowd–Boyd–StephensonOvechkin–Kuznetsov–WilsonOshie–Backstrom–StephensonNiskanen–OrlovCarlson–KempnyLewington–SiegenthalerCarlson–Orlov
Stone–White–Tkachuk2:170.83–0.001:400.32–0.005:480.28–0.420:400.00–0.000:350.02–0.006:181.16–0.202:420.10–0.212:150.21–0.00
Ryan–Tierney–Paul0:520.00–0.030:390.00–0.000:410.10–0.001:240.26–0.320:350.18–0.003:010.55–0.321:320.00–0.03
Smith–Paajarvi–Dzingel2:050.01–0.151:130.33–0.090:450.00–0.321:410.01–0.321:360.33–0.250:420.00–0.00
Smith–Duchene–Dzingel1:380.01–0.020:420.00–0.151:280.00–0.15
Ryan–Duchene–Paul0:330.00–0.121:170.03–0.011:430.03–0.130:330.00–0.01
Boedker–Tierney–Paul1:160.00–0.000:330.00–0.041:000.00–0.040:490.00–0.00
Boedker–Duchene–Stone0:510.00–0.020:350.00–0.101:060.00–0.100:330.00–0.02
Boedker–Duchene–Paajarvi1:430.12–0.001:110.00–0.00
Duchene–Dzingel–Tierney0:500.00–0.081:130.00–0.08
Smith–Dzingel–Tierney0:430.00–0.000:470.00–0.14
Smith–Stone–Dzingel0:580.00–0.001:010.00–0.29
Ryan–Duchene–Dzingel0:470.11–0.00
Ceci–Chabot2:040.00–0.031:350.14–0.041:290.33–0.091:240.23–0.001:350.11–0.002:280.33–0.131:450.11–0.03
DeMelo–Harpur1:060.00–0.002:140.01–0.051:570.15–0.120:330.00–0.003:360.15–0.151:200.00–0.001:080.00–0.02
Borowiecki–Jaros1:580.04–0.151:430.00–0.231:270.00–0.000:550.00–0.082:400.02–0.151:300.02–0.15
Falk–Ceci3:150.22–0.230:430.00–0.230:350.02–0.002:160.23–0.001:130.00–0.381:000.00–0.08
Borowiecki–Harpur1:350.16–0.101:520.03–0.020:560.00–0.101:110.00–0.022:130.19–0.00
DeMelo–Chabot0:490.00–0.001:040.10–0.131:050.00–0.321:250.00–0.002:340.11–0.45
Chabot–Jaros0:360.00–0.060:400.00–0.251:310.15–0.002:550.18–0.200:390.00–0.00
Ceci–Harpur1:170.00–0.020:350.18–0.001:070.00–0.450:450.18–0.001:020.00–0.00
Borowiecki–DeMelo0:560.66–0.001:130.23–0.001:220.67–0.000:320.22–0.00
Harpur–Chabot0:340.09–0.050:350.00–0.100:500.00–0.100:590.09–0.05
Borowiecki–Ceci0:470.00–0.00
Falk–DeMelo0:380.00–0.010:450.00–0.320:510.00–0.32
Borowiecki–Chabot0:400.19–0.000:380.19–0.000:370.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSmith FDzingel FStone FTkachuk FWhite FPaajarvi FBoedker FDuchene FPaul FRyan FTierney FCeci DFalk DBorowiecki DJaros DDeMelo DChabot DHarpur DMcKenna GOvechkin FBackstrom FOshie FWilson FKuznetsov FVrana FConnolly FEller FBurakovsky FStephenson FDowd FBoyd FNiskanen DOrlov DCarlson DKempny DSiegenthaler DLewington DCopley G
OTTWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

John CarlsonWSH2223:211:042:3823
Dmitry OrlovWSH2222:091:002:0305
Matt NiskanenWSH2322:030:581:5006
Thomas ChabotOTT2321:570:571:4471
Mark StoneOTT2321:220:561:3540
Cody CeciOTT2621:140:491:4446
Ben HarpurOTT2221:020:572:0515
Alex OvechkinWSH1920:201:043:2232
Michal KempnyWSH2019:440:592:0613
Nicklas BackstromWSH1919:111:012:3932
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH1818:561:031:4231
Chris TierneyOTT2017:370:531:3834
Matt DucheneOTT2117:370:501:2852
Dylan DeMeloOTT2017:290:521:3540
Colin WhiteOTT2117:170:491:3531
Brady TkachukOTT2016:540:511:2140
Mark BorowieckiOTT2016:450:501:4304
Ryan DzingelOTT1816:300:551:3813
T.J. OshieWSH1816:200:542:4132
Jonas SiegenthalerWSH2316:150:421:2631
Bobby RyanOTT1815:490:531:3233
Zack SmithOTT2015:230:461:2534
Brett ConnollyWSH1614:480:561:3350
Tom WilsonWSH1714:450:521:3712
Jakub VranaWSH1714:320:511:3331
Lars EllerWSH1814:230:481:3251
Nick PaulOTT1614:020:531:4531
Tyler LewingtonWSH2113:070:371:3231
Andre BurakovskyWSH1512:400:511:3240
Magnus PaajarviOTT1612:140:461:1415
Chandler StephensonWSH1512:120:491:5724
Mikkel BoedkerOTT1512:100:491:1932
Christian JarosOTT1612:040:451:1934
Nic DowdWSH1410:510:471:0124
Travis BoydWSH1210:370:531:3722
Justin FalkOTT96:550:461:1911