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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 29, 2018·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Washington Capitals 3, Ottawa Senators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 70% of the time.

OTT winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ovechkin–Oshie–BackstromEller–Connolly–BurakovskyKuznetsov–Wilson–VranaDowd–Smith-Pelly–StephensonOshie–Kuznetsov–VranaOvechkin–Backstrom–WilsonCarlson–KempnyOrlov–BoweyLewington–SiegenthalerOrlov–LewingtonCarlson–SiegenthalerCarlson–OrlovBowey–KempnyBowey–Siegenthaler
Stone–White–Tkachuk3:460.40–0.002:570.12–0.030:430.00–0.000:580.00–0.333:420.17–0.364:090.41–0.021:110.00–0.00
Duchene–Stone–White2:350.17–0.011:550.08–0.000:510.00–0.003:240.29–0.010:400.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Smith–Duchene–Dzingel4:190.22–0.152:200.00–0.041:590.22–0.03
Ryan–Boedker–Tierney2:430.00–0.160:520.00–0.000:420.00–0.031:330.00–0.13
Ryan–Pyatt–Tierney1:430.03–0.001:370.23–0.000:350.03–0.001:160.23–0.000:330.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Pyatt–Paul–Rodewald2:420.00–0.001:590.00–0.020:520.00–0.00
Smith–Boedker–Dzingel1:150.00–0.150:330.00–0.010:390.00–0.12
Boedker–Duchene–Dzingel0:540.01–0.000:550.00–0.050:540.01–0.00
Ryan–Dzingel–Tierney0:590.00–0.191:040.00–0.19
Smith–Duchene–Rodewald0:470.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Smith–Paul–Rodewald0:490.14–0.001:010.14–0.00
Smith–Stone–White0:460.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Ryan–Duchene–Tierney0:330.00–0.05
Smith–Duchene–Tierney0:450.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Ryan–Smith–Dzingel0:530.15–0.040:530.15–0.04
Pyatt–Boedker–Dzingel0:470.00–0.23
Ceci–Lajoie7:000.16–0.011:210.00–0.024:510.31–0.272:440.16–0.211:000.00–0.339:400.46–0.392:510.08–0.022:280.14–0.131:310.00–0.210:320.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Borowiecki–DeMelo2:460.67–0.001:450.35–0.042:170.23–0.040:540.00–0.002:470.24–0.052:410.61–0.001:380.04–0.080:530.00–0.000:390.23–0.00
Harpur–Wolanin0:430.00–0.003:290.00–0.032:400.23–0.002:210.00–0.002:120.40–0.001:190.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:400.00–0.010:380.00–0.00
Borowiecki–Harpur2:160.10–0.081:470.00–0.050:550.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:560.00–0.032:010.00–0.052:420.10–0.091:240.00–0.020:310.00–0.00
DeMelo–Wolanin0:520.00–0.152:160.00–0.230:460.05–0.000:540.00–0.001:040.00–0.002:030.05–0.072:250.00–0.30
Harpur–Lajoie1:070.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Ceci–Wolanin
DeMelo–Harpur0:590.00–0.191:040.00–0.19
Borowiecki–Ceci0:420.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSmith FDzingel FDuchene FTkachuk FWhite FStone FRyan FTierney FBoedker FRodewald FPyatt FPaul FHarpur DBorowiecki DCeci DLajoie DDeMelo DWolanin DHogberg GOvechkin FBackstrom FOshie FVrana FWilson FKuznetsov FConnolly FEller FBurakovsky FStephenson FSmith-Pelly FDowd FKempny DCarlson DOrlov DBowey DSiegenthaler DLewington DCopley G
OTTWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

John CarlsonWSH2726:060:582:0446
Michal KempnyWSH2623:580:551:2236
Matt DucheneOTT2223:271:042:0331
Maxime LajoieOTT2723:250:522:0122
Cody CeciOTT2522:590:552:2622
Dmitry OrlovWSH2622:000:511:3145
Mark StoneOTT2221:551:001:4931
Colin WhiteOTT2220:010:551:4431
T.J. OshieWSH2119:170:552:0642
Alex OvechkinWSH2018:580:572:0652
Ben HarpurOTT2118:450:542:1431
Nicklas BackstromWSH2218:330:511:1852
Mark BorowieckiOTT2718:270:411:0611
Madison BoweyWSH2218:160:501:2734
Ryan DzingelOTT1817:070:571:4620
Dylan DeMeloOTT2217:070:472:0062
Christian WolaninOTT2317:070:451:3562
Chris TierneyOTT1916:410:531:2652
Jonas SiegenthalerWSH2015:210:461:3203
Tom WilsonWSH2015:040:451:3622
Zack SmithOTT1815:020:501:3820
Mikkel BoedkerOTT1614:550:561:5241
Lars EllerWSH1914:350:461:1907
Tyler LewingtonWSH1914:280:461:3212
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH1914:170:451:1621
Jakub VranaWSH1713:590:491:2421
Brett ConnollyWSH1713:200:471:2516
Andre BurakovskyWSH1713:140:471:1616
Brady TkachukOTT1513:000:521:1401
Bobby RyanOTT1812:470:431:1972
Nic DowdWSH1412:350:541:1522
Chandler StephensonWSH1612:170:461:1432
Devante Smith-PellyWSH1511:420:471:0922
Jack RodewaldOTT109:551:001:1102
Tom PyattOTT129:370:481:1623
Nick PaulOTT108:530:531:1801