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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 8, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

New Jersey Devils 1, Buffalo Sabres 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.

BUF winsNJD wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NJD's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Zajac–Coleman–WoodPalmieri–Bratt–HischierPietila–Noesen–ZachaBoyle–Stafford–SeneyBoyle–Stafford–ZachaStafford–Pietila–SeneyPietila–Noesen–SeneyBoyle–Noesen–ZachaVatanen–SantiniGreene–SeversonLovejoy–ButcherGreene–LovejoyVatanen–SeversonSeverson–SantiniButcher–SantiniVatanen–ButcherGreene–Butcher
Sheary–Reinhart–Rodrigues0:570.00–0.003:200.25–0.232:510.02–0.001:130.00–0.001:590.02–0.150:560.03–0.002:510.03–0.005:040.05–0.230:480.19–0.000:420.02–0.090:320.02–0.00
Sobotka–Skinner–Thompson3:060.27–0.212:130.25–0.130:540.00–0.031:320.12–0.250:490.00–0.004:440.46–0.213:370.09–0.301:210.03–0.060:550.00–0.00
Okposo–Larsson–Smith6:370.24–0.032:040.03–0.130:480.21–0.000:390.00–0.004:010.05–0.113:060.24–0.022:220.19–0.000:390.00–0.000:530.00–0.01
Pominville–Girgensons–Mittelstadt0:390.01–0.021:550.45–0.091:310.00–0.001:480.00–0.052:170.10–0.093:010.45–0.051:370.01–0.11
Skinner–Thompson–Mittelstadt0:380.00–0.000:540.00–0.09
Bogosian–Dahlin3:320.23–0.033:290.55–0.231:190.00–0.000:460.03–0.000:350.00–0.000:390.00–0.001:200.02–0.000:390.00–0.004:090.07–0.033:260.52–0.025:290.25–0.351:060.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Scandella–McCabe3:450.27–0.032:430.22–0.092:290.21–0.032:070.09–0.250:400.00–0.062:490.37–0.096:030.24–0.272:130.00–0.030:380.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Ristolainen–Pilut4:570.06–0.202:410.23–0.132:290.02–0.001:260.00–0.054:360.20–0.193:440.03–0.103:050.05–0.02
Dahlin–Pilut1:080.00–0.130:390.00–0.00
Scandella–Ristolainen0:350.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOkposo FLarsson FSmith FSkinner FSobotka FThompson FReinhart FSheary FRodrigues FGirgensons FPominville FMittelstadt FScandella DMcCabe DRistolainen DPilut DBogosian DDahlin DHutton GZajac FColeman FWood FNoesen FZacha FPietila FHischier FPalmieri FBratt FStafford FBoyle FSeney FGreene DSeverson DSantini DVatanen DButcher DLovejoy DKinkaid G
BUFNJDFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zach BogosianBUF2221:571:001:3725
Damon SeversonNJD2521:000:501:2635
Rasmus RistolainenBUF2220:590:572:5372
Travis ZajacNJD2420:510:521:4637
Sami VatanenNJD2220:320:562:5023
Rasmus DahlinBUF2020:131:011:4231
Jake McCabeBUF2120:080:582:2727
Andy GreeneNJD2320:070:522:1015
Marco ScandellaBUF2219:540:541:1025
Will ButcherNJD2519:260:471:3152
Kyle PalmieriNJD2318:130:481:3234
Johan LarssonBUF2118:070:521:2425
Miles WoodNJD2117:330:501:5115
Nico HischierNJD2117:280:501:2634
Ben LovejoyNJD2117:200:501:4603
Steven SantiniNJD2017:100:522:3403
Blake ColemanNJD2117:020:491:2717
Jeff SkinnerBUF1916:380:531:2151
Evan RodriguesBUF1916:250:521:2233
Pavel ZachaNJD1916:110:511:3160
Lawrence PilutBUF1816:090:543:1871
Tage ThompsonBUF1915:410:501:2161
Vladimir SobotkaBUF1915:250:491:1554
Brian BoyleNJD1614:590:562:2761
Jesper BrattNJD2014:590:451:2033
Sam ReinhartBUF1614:450:552:2531
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1614:410:551:2433
Conor ShearyBUF1614:230:541:3631
Kyle OkposoBUF1513:550:561:2131
Blake PietilaNJD1612:470:481:3001
C.J. SmithBUF1512:180:491:0921
Casey MittelstadtBUF1411:250:491:2031
Stefan NoesenNJD1411:030:472:1100
Drew StaffordNJD1410:490:461:1121
Brett SeneyNJD1410:390:461:2122
Jason PominvilleBUF119:320:521:2431