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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 10, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

1

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:04Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 1:25Shot by Stamkos, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 4:03Teravainen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Cernak · CAR Hamilton, Teravainen, McGinn, van Riemsdyk, Aho

  5. P1 11:29Shot by de Haan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 11:41Shot by Ferland, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 11:42Shot by Martinook, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 12:09Shot by Teravainen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 13:06Gourde: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Erne, Point, Cernak · CAR Williams, McKegg, Hamilton, van Riemsdyk, Svechnikov

  10. P1 14:08Shot by Faulk, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  11. P1 16:03Shot by de Haan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 17:06Shot by Martinook, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 17:18Shot by Paquette, saved by Mrazek
  14. P1 17:29Hamilton: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Cernak · CAR Williams, McKegg, Hamilton, van Riemsdyk, Svechnikov

  15. P1 17:42Hedman: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point · CAR Ferland, Slavin, Pesce, Aho

  16. P1 17:56Shot by Ferland, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  17. P1 18:02Shot by Ferland, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  18. P1 18:04Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  19. P1 19:18Shot by Rask, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  20. P1 19:55Shot by Gourde, saved by Mrazek
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:32Shot by Killorn, saved by Mrazek
  24. P2 4:32Shot by Hamilton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P2 4:34Goal by Williams (Hamilton, van Riemsdyk)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Girardi, Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat · CAR Williams, McKegg, Ferland, Hamilton, van Riemsdyk

  26. P2 5:09Shot by Foegele, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 6:02Shot by Erne, saved by Mrazek6v5
  28. P2 6:12Foegele: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Stralman, Stamkos, Kucherov, Gourde, Erne · CAR de Haan, Faulk, Teravainen, McGinn, Aho

  29. P2 7:41Shot by Stamkos, saved by Mrazek5v4
  30. P2 8:59Svechnikov: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Hedman, Kucherov, Point · CAR Williams, McKegg, Hamilton, van Riemsdyk, Svechnikov

  31. P2 9:03Shot by Cirelli, saved by Mrazek5v4
  32. P2 9:11Stamkos: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli · CAR Teravainen, Slavin, Pesce, Aho

  33. P2 9:17Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  34. P2 9:30Shot by Cernak, saved by Mrazek4v4
  35. P2 9:44Shot by Joseph, saved by Mrazek4v4
  36. P2 10:47Shot by Kucherov, saved by Mrazek4v4
  37. P2 11:11Shot by Williams, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  38. P2 11:47Shot by Erne, saved by Mrazek
  39. P2 11:58Shot by McKegg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 13:22Shot by Killorn, saved by Mrazek
  41. P2 13:53Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 14:07Shot by Johnson, saved by Mrazek
  43. P2 14:50Shot by Hedman, saved by Mrazek
  44. P2 15:10Shot by Palat, saved by Mrazek
  45. P2 17:14Shot by Faulk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 17:47Erne: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Stralman, Gourde, Erne, Point · CAR Williams, de Haan, Faulk, Teravainen, McGinn, Aho

  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:07Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P3 1:24Shot by Wallmark, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P3 5:54Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 6:29Shot by Gourde, saved by Mrazek
  53. P3 6:55Shot by Stralman, saved by Mrazek
  54. P3 8:28Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P3 9:14Shot by Johnson, saved by Mrazek
  56. P3 11:15Svechnikov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Cernak · CAR Teravainen, Slavin, Pesce, Aho, Svechnikov

  57. P3 11:56Goal by Palat (Stamkos, Point)5v4+30 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point · CAR de Haan, Faulk, Teravainen, Aho

  58. P3 14:46Shot by Point, saved by Mrazek
  59. P3 15:15Shot by Kucherov, saved by Mrazek
  60. P3 15:23Shot by Kucherov, saved by Mrazek
  61. P3 15:34Shot by Kucherov, saved by Mrazek
  62. P3 16:04Shot by Cirelli, saved by Mrazek
  63. P3 16:05McKegg: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Gourde, Cernak, Cirelli · CAR Williams, McKegg, Slavin, Pesce, Svechnikov

  64. P3 16:35Shot by Stamkos, saved by Mrazek5v4
  65. P3 16:45Goal by Point (Kucherov, Hedman)5v4+38 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point · CAR Teravainen, Slavin, Pesce, Aho

  66. P3 17:10Shot by Erne, saved by Mrazek
  67. P3 17:43Shot by McDonagh, saved by Mrazek
  68. P3 17:52Shot by Cernak, saved by Mrazek
  69. P3 18:47Shot by Teravainen, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  70. P3 19:23Shot by Hamilton, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  71. P3 19:24Shot by Williams, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  72. P3 19:34Goal by Point (Stamkos, Killorn)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Point, Cernak · CAR Williams, Ferland, Hamilton, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho

  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final