Thu, Jan 10, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.
50%
9%
10%
31%
TBL winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Williams–McKegg–Svechnikov | Teravainen–McGinn–Aho | Ferland–Martinook–Wallmark | Rask–Maenalanen–Foegele | Slavin–Pesce | Hamilton–van Riemsdyk | de Haan–Faulk | de Haan–Pesce | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnson–Kucherov–Point | 1:240.03–0.00 | 4:400.19–0.05 | 1:250.03–0.09 | 1:100.12–0.00 | 5:260.23–0.03 | 3:190.29–0.02 | 1:330.06–0.07 | |
| Killorn–Stamkos–Palat | 2:450.26–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:570.00–0.13 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 4:080.14–0.32 | 2:370.15–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.06 |
| Paquette–Martel–Joseph | 1:380.00–0.03 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.34 | 2:330.01–0.01 | 2:010.00–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.03 | 2:250.00–0.34 | |
| Gourde–Erne–Cirelli | 1:310.06–0.14 | 0:390.00–0.03 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.02 | 1:580.06–0.12 | 2:170.00–0.05 | ||
| Stamkos–Palat–Gourde | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:550.01–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 2:100.01–0.00 | ||||
| Killorn–Erne–Cirelli | 1:020.09–0.00 | 0:380.07–0.00 | 0:400.01–0.00 | |||||
| Gourde–Erne–Point | ||||||||
| Johnson–Kucherov–Cirelli | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 1:590.03–0.00 | 5:500.19–0.05 | 1:330.08–0.00 | 0:490.08–0.01 | 5:370.19–0.03 | 4:060.29–0.02 | 1:450.06–0.00 | |
| Coburn–Stralman | 2:020.04–0.03 | 1:380.00–0.03 | 3:350.17–0.34 | 4:040.00–0.02 | 2:050.00–0.00 | 2:500.07–0.03 | 6:300.10–0.46 | |
| Girardi–Hedman | 4:030.26–0.00 | 2:040.00–0.05 | 1:580.01–0.13 | 1:510.04–0.00 | 3:300.04–0.00 | 3:520.11–0.24 | 2:380.16–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.11 |
| Girardi–McDonagh | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.17 | 0:460.00–0.18 | 0:360.00–0.07 | ||||
| Coburn–Girardi | 0:530.06–0.12 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:510.06–0.12 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||
| Stralman–Hedman | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Coburn–Cernak | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:460.03–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 23 | 22:26 | 0:59 | 1:58 | 2 | 4 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 24 | 22:24 | 0:56 | 1:14 | 2 | 4 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 26 | 21:46 | 0:50 | 2:04 | 3 | 4 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 21 | 21:21 | 1:01 | 1:42 | 6 | 0 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 20 | 21:16 | 1:04 | 2:10 | 4 | 0 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 25 | 21:02 | 0:50 | 1:41 | 6 | 0 |
 Brett PesceCAR | 22 | 20:25 | 0:56 | 1:43 | 1 | 4 |
 Justin FaulkCAR | 22 | 20:16 | 0:55 | 1:50 | 3 | 4 |
 Teuvo TeravainenCAR | 26 | 19:40 | 0:45 | 1:59 | 2 | 4 |
 Dougie HamiltonCAR | 25 | 19:23 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 1 | 2 |
 Calvin de HaanCAR | 21 | 19:23 | 0:55 | 1:39 | 1 | 3 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 24 | 19:16 | 0:48 | 2:13 | 7 | 4 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 20 | 19:14 | 0:58 | 1:38 | 1 | 3 |
 Dan GirardiTBL | 18 | 18:04 | 1:00 | 1:58 | 1 | 3 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 19 | 17:14 | 0:54 | 1:33 | 2 | 2 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 17 | 17:00 | 1:00 | 1:52 | 1 | 3 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 18 | 16:39 | 0:56 | 2:04 | 1 | 3 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 19 | 16:35 | 0:52 | 1:41 | 5 | 2 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykCAR | 21 | 16:17 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 0 | 1 |
 Justin WilliamsCAR | 21 | 16:06 | 0:46 | 1:44 | 1 | 2 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 20 | 15:55 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 2 | 3 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 20 | 14:58 | 0:45 | 1:33 | 3 | 3 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 23 | 14:54 | 0:39 | 1:18 | 2 | 1 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 18 | 14:41 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 1 | 3 |
 Micheal FerlandCAR | 21 | 14:32 | 0:42 | 1:08 | 6 | 2 |
 Brock McGinnCAR | 22 | 13:52 | 0:38 | 1:01 | 1 | 1 |
 Lucas WallmarkCAR | 20 | 13:22 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 4 | 4 |
 Greg McKeggCAR | 20 | 12:25 | 0:37 | 1:18 | 1 | 1 |
 Warren FoegeleCAR | 20 | 12:08 | 0:36 | 1:10 | 4 | 0 |
 Victor RaskCAR | 18 | 12:05 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 5 | 0 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 17 | 11:56 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 1 | 2 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 16 | 10:53 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 1 | 3 |
 Saku MaenalanenCAR | 16 | 10:39 | 0:40 | 1:20 | 4 | 0 |
 Mathieu JosephTBL | 14 | 9:24 | 0:40 | 0:57 | 1 | 3 |
 Adam ErneTBL | 14 | 9:06 | 0:39 | 1:35 | 1 | 1 |
 Danick MartelTBL | 11 | 7:32 | 0:41 | 0:57 | 1 | 2 |