Thu, Jan 10, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.
50%
9%
10%
31%
TBL winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:24 | 0.05 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:46 | 0.35 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:25 | 0.00 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:16 | 0.10 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:40 | 0.16 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:23 | 0.10 | 50.7% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:23 | 0.11 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:17 | 0.02 | 48.2% | +20.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:06 | 0.39 | 45.0% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:54 | 0.00 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:32 | 0.26 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:52 | 0.05 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.13 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.12 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.03 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:05 | 0.15 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:56 | 0.40 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:39 | 0.00 | 18.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.18 | +0.2 | 59:06 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:26 | 0.03 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 21:21 | 0.92 | 57.2% | +70.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:16 | 0.40 | 71.5% | +37.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:02 | 0.04 | 42.5% | +37.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:16 | 0.19 | 44.9% | +32.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:14 | 0.10 | 90.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:04 | 0.01 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:14 | 0.30 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.01 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:39 | 0.08 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.15 | 41.9% | +30.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.24 | 50.0% | +1.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:58 | 0.03 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:41 | 0.04 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:53 | 0.05 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:24 | 0.13 | 1.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:06 | 0.18 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:32 | 0.01 | 16.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 2.41 | +1.4 | 59:24 |