Wed, Jan 16, 2019·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Buffalo Sabres 4, Calgary Flames 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 67% of the time.
58%
9%
9%
23%
CGY winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:21 | 0.03 | 63.9% | +46.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:56 | 0.04 | 13.5% | +32.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 20:57 | 0.47 | 44.6% | +79.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:46 | 0.05 | 19.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:59 | 0.25 | 46.9% | +32.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 18:46 | 0.09 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:32 | 0.04 | 34.8% | +32.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:00 | 0.04 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:46 | 0.14 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:00 | 0.01 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.12 | 51.5% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:43 | 0.19 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:07 | 0.00 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.00 | 19.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:05 | 0.00 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:59 | 0.00 | 48.0% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:34 | 0.09 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:22 | 0.11 | 46.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.57 | −0.4 | 61:02 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 27:09 | 0.18 | 60.6% | +17.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 21:48 | 0.48 | 52.5% | +46.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:25 | 0.04 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 20:44 | 0.19 | 50.8% | +33.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 20:29 | 0.05 | 41.2% | +46.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:28 | 0.04 | 42.9% | +33.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 20:21 | 0.44 | 67.5% | +28.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:19 | 0.02 | 46.6% | +33.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:34 | 0.14 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:24 | 0.39 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:14 | 0.02 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:53 | 0.33 | 80.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.04 | 84.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:58 | 0.00 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:05 | 0.02 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:42 | 0.13 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:38 | 0.03 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:40 | 0.03 | 79.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 1.66 | −2.3 | 61:10 |