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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 5, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Vegas Golden Knights 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 55% of the time.

TBL winsVGK wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against VGK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stastny–Pacioretty–TuchKarlsson–Marchessault–ZykovSmith–Pirri–EakinReaves–Carpenter–BellemarePacioretty–Karlsson–TuchMcNabb–SchmidtEngelland–TheodoreMerrill–MillerSchmidt–TheodoreMerrill–SchmidtMiller–Theodore
Johnson–Kucherov–Point6:160.16–0.450:470.00–0.050:500.08–0.001:150.00–0.041:010.05–0.007:550.12–0.532:190.12–0.050:380.04–0.000:520.15–0.00
Stamkos–Palat–Gourde4:230.14–0.312:590.00–0.111:320.00–0.041:500.14–0.085:020.16–0.220:420.00–0.00
Killorn–Miller–Cirelli2:150.00–0.134:150.00–0.081:550.10–0.160:530.00–0.000:570.00–0.071:400.00–0.085:300.12–0.152:300.00–0.110:440.00–0.00
Paquette–Erne–Joseph0:420.00–0.011:290.11–0.021:530.00–0.041:180.00–0.042:060.22–0.232:280.11–0.000:500.00–0.01
McDonagh–Cernak6:270.13–0.143:150.00–0.120:480.00–0.001:510.05–0.075:330.04–0.085:090.20–0.373:310.11–0.140:320.00–0.00
Stralman–Hedman2:300.08–0.425:220.16–0.072:230.08–0.020:480.00–0.040:350.00–0.004:190.08–0.495:270.31–0.043:080.09–0.06
Coburn–Sergachev1:390.00–0.001:110.00–0.164:380.21–0.202:090.00–0.003:260.00–0.041:060.10–0.005:480.20–0.241:290.15–0.00
Stralman–McDonagh0:510.00–0.080:400.08–0.021:180.08–0.10
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndJohnson FPoint FKucherov FMiller FKillorn FCirelli FStamkos FPalat FGourde FErne FJoseph FPaquette FMcDonagh DCernak DStralman DHedman DCoburn DSergachev DVasilevskiy GStastny FPacioretty FTuch FZykov FKarlsson FMarchessault FSmith FPirri FEakin FBellemare FReaves FCarpenter FMcNabb DSchmidt DEngelland DTheodore DMiller DMerrill DFleury G
TBLVGKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2527:571:072:1133
Nate SchmidtVGK2624:270:562:3041
Steven StamkosTBL2822:540:491:4768
Nikita KucherovTBL2122:501:051:4781
Deryk EngellandVGK2322:130:581:5328
William KarlssonVGK2722:110:493:1154
Max PaciorettyVGK2121:581:031:4112
Ryan McDonaghTBL2421:530:551:4535
Paul StastnyVGK2121:351:021:5235
Brayden McNabbVGK1921:281:082:3015
Brayden PointTBL2121:141:011:4781
Erik CernakTBL2620:220:471:3236
Shea TheodoreVGK2620:060:461:4724
Reilly SmithVGK2320:010:521:3451
Anton StralmanTBL2319:520:521:3512
Ondrej PalatTBL2219:440:541:4734
Alex TuchVGK2119:150:551:3422
Colin MillerVGK2519:090:461:4660
Anthony CirelliTBL2217:490:491:3725
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK2017:210:521:2372
Alex KillornTBL2015:580:481:5213
Jon MerrillVGK2415:570:401:1630
Mikhail SergachevTBL1715:080:531:3403
Tyler JohnsonTBL1614:570:562:0431
Cody EakinVGK1914:070:451:1634
Yanni GourdeTBL2014:020:421:2124
J.T. MillerTBL1713:440:481:2913
Braydon CoburnTBL1513:420:551:3003
Valentin ZykovVGK1511:530:481:0232
Pierre-Edouard BellemareVGK1611:520:451:2003
Brandon PirriVGK1411:420:501:4230
Cedric PaquetteTBL1711:100:391:2103
Adam ErneTBL139:420:451:2101
Mathieu JosephTBL148:360:371:0301
Ryan CarpenterVGK97:100:481:1602
Ryan ReavesVGK86:470:511:1000