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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 10, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Winnipeg Jets 3, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 53% of the time.

BUF winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Wheeler–Scheifele–ConnorLittle–Roslovic–LainePerreault–Lowry–TanevCopp–Lemieux–AppletonScheifele–Connor–RoslovicTrouba–MorrisseyByfuglien–ChiarotMyers–MorrowByfuglien–MyersByfuglien–MorrowMyers–Chiarot
Pominville–Skinner–Eichel6:570.30–0.150:400.00–0.010:530.00–0.080:480.00–0.006:590.13–0.151:240.16–0.011:170.03–0.08
Okposo–Larsson–Girgensons2:310.07–0.001:370.00–0.000:310.00–0.022:390.15–0.141:500.05–0.003:270.11–0.112:360.12–0.050:410.14–0.00
Sheary–Reinhart–Mittelstadt3:080.00–0.033:220.09–0.080:520.00–0.001:410.00–0.005:540.09–0.141:010.00–0.00
Sobotka–Rodrigues–Thompson0:560.10–0.041:070.00–0.062:270.01–0.031:590.06–0.100:590.00–0.041:100.01–0.004:470.18–0.160:370.00–0.03
Larsson–Girgensons–Thompson0:350.48–0.000:430.07–0.000:430.07–0.00
Skinner–Reinhart–Eichel0:350.04–0.001:140.04–0.34
Okposo–Skinner–Eichel1:030.00–0.141:030.00–0.14
Scandella–Ristolainen9:120.47–0.131:230.00–0.001:480.01–0.020:320.00–0.008:390.17–0.432:550.17–0.023:290.18–0.00
McCabe–Pilut0:560.00–0.044:510.36–0.113:370.00–0.242:540.10–0.101:460.05–0.043:380.06–0.087:100.17–0.240:370.12–0.040:320.00–0.08
Hunwick–Dahlin3:030.48–0.232:570.00–0.042:070.08–0.022:270.05–0.140:530.04–0.003:290.04–0.216:370.13–0.180:330.00–0.05
Ristolainen–Dahlin0:330.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndEichel FPominville FSkinner FReinhart FMittelstadt FSheary FSobotka FRodrigues FThompson FLarsson FGirgensons FOkposo FScandella DRistolainen DDahlin DHunwick DMcCabe DPilut DHutton GWheeler FScheifele FConnor FTanev FLowry FPerreault FLittle FRoslovic FLaine FCopp FLemieux FAppleton FTrouba DMorrissey DChiarot DByfuglien DMyers DMorrow DHellebuyck G
BUFWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2424:061:001:5626
Dustin ByfuglienWPG2623:290:541:4202
Josh MorrisseyWPG2322:521:001:3237
Jacob TroubaWPG2322:420:591:3937
Kyle ConnorWPG2322:220:582:0131
Jack EichelBUF2022:151:071:4053
Jeff SkinnerBUF2021:371:051:5052
Mark ScheifeleWPG2521:240:511:3923
Rasmus DahlinBUF2220:250:561:4331
Tyler MyersWPG2120:020:571:4843
Sam ReinhartBUF1919:531:031:5451
Blake WheelerWPG2419:100:481:2022
Marco ScandellaBUF2318:460:491:4736
Lawrence PilutBUF2316:430:441:4632
Casey MittelstadtBUF1816:200:541:2941
Jake McCabeBUF2116:140:461:5913
Ben ChiarotWPG1916:040:511:2900
Bryan LittleWPG2115:520:451:4314
Adam LowryWPG2215:390:431:1904
Evan RodriguesBUF1915:280:491:3522
Brandon TanevWPG2215:070:411:1904
Jack RoslovicWPG1615:070:571:3912
Conor ShearyBUF2015:050:451:2830
Kyle OkposoBUF1614:540:562:0521
Matt HunwickBUF1714:350:511:4301
Jason PominvilleBUF1914:310:461:2222
Johan LarssonBUF1814:170:481:5203
Joe MorrowWPG1513:370:541:3442
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1512:260:501:4303
Tage ThompsonBUF1411:050:481:2302
Vladimir SobotkaBUF1510:570:441:1913
Patrik LaineWPG1610:560:411:3413
Andrew CoppWPG1610:550:411:3430
Mathieu PerreaultWPG139:150:430:5310
Mason AppletonWPG107:570:481:2020
Brendan LemieuxWPG107:310:451:2720