Sat, Feb 23, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Washington Capitals 2, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 87% of the time.
83%
BUF winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Wilson | Eller–Connolly–Burakovsky | Hagelin–Dowd–Stephenson | Oshie–Backstrom–Vrana | Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Vrana | Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Burakovsky | Niskanen–Orlov | Carlson–Kempny | Orpik–Djoos | Carlson–Djoos | Orpik–Kempny | Djoos–Kempny | Carlson–Orlov | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larsson–Wilson–Girgensons | 3:160.11–0.02 | 0:450.07–0.05 | 1:370.09–0.00 | 1:590.00–0.14 | 0:310.08–0.00 | 0:470.05–0.08 | 3:000.07–0.14 | 1:170.06–0.02 | 2:420.18–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.00 | |||
| Sheary–Reinhart–Rodrigues | 2:350.46–0.09 | 3:070.10–0.03 | 0:360.08–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 2:090.09–0.06 | 3:580.72–0.11 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:420.01–0.00 | |||||
| Sobotka–O'Regan–Thompson | 0:580.01–0.13 | 2:530.28–0.06 | 1:560.03–0.00 | 3:580.03–0.00 | 1:060.09–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.16 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Pominville–Skinner–Eichel | 3:080.55–0.07 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.03 | 1:220.16–0.09 | 2:420.19–0.09 | 1:540.03–0.10 | 1:570.44–0.00 | 0:320.07–0.00 | |||||
| Pominville–Sheary–Eichel | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:200.08–0.12 | 2:110.08–0.12 | ||||||||||
| Reinhart–Rodrigues–Thompson | 0:350.00–0.04 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.04 | |||||||||
| Sobotka–Wilson–O'Regan | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:590.18–0.00 | |||||||||||
| McCabe–Ristolainen | 9:491.02–0.11 | 1:110.01–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.02 | 0:430.05–0.00 | 2:140.26–0.02 | 3:580.27–0.13 | 4:190.47–0.00 | 2:450.44–0.02 | 1:090.08–0.00 | ||||
| Bogosian–Dahlin | 4:520.10–0.28 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 5:390.19–0.23 | 8:360.27–0.35 | 1:400.00–0.02 | 1:110.00–0.15 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:330.01–0.00 | |||||
| Hunwick–Beaulieu | 1:070.23–0.13 | 2:330.10–0.01 | 6:400.45–0.08 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 4:480.16–0.04 | 4:400.57–0.15 | 1:440.02–0.02 | 0:560.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 22 | 25:35 | 1:10 | 2:36 | 4 | 2 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 26 | 25:03 | 0:58 | 2:15 | 7 | 4 |
 Matt NiskanenWSH | 23 | 22:54 | 1:00 | 2:34 | 3 | 4 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 19 | 22:20 | 1:11 | 2:43 | 4 | 1 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 21 | 21:46 | 1:02 | 2:25 | 4 | 3 |
 Dmitry OrlovWSH | 21 | 21:32 | 1:02 | 1:31 | 3 | 3 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 23 | 20:08 | 0:53 | 1:46 | 2 | 5 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 20 | 20:04 | 1:00 | 1:47 | 1 | 4 |
 Evgeny KuznetsovWSH | 21 | 20:02 | 0:57 | 1:56 | 5 | 1 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 24 | 19:57 | 0:50 | 1:31 | 5 | 4 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 21 | 19:51 | 0:57 | 2:42 | 8 | 2 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 20 | 18:30 | 0:56 | 2:10 | 8 | 3 |
 Michal KempnyWSH | 21 | 17:48 | 0:51 | 1:31 | 4 | 3 |
 Conor ShearyBUF | 20 | 17:22 | 0:52 | 1:45 | 7 | 0 |
 Matt HunwickBUF | 21 | 16:57 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 2 | 3 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 24 | 16:25 | 0:41 | 1:32 | 5 | 7 |
 Nicklas BackstromWSH | 20 | 16:23 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 5 | 2 |
 Lars EllerWSH | 19 | 15:45 | 0:50 | 1:30 | 3 | 4 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 21 | 15:22 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 0 | 9 |
 T.J. OshieWSH | 19 | 15:20 | 0:48 | 1:29 | 5 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 20 | 15:18 | 0:46 | 1:29 | 0 | 7 |
 Brooks OrpikWSH | 20 | 14:02 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 1 | 4 |
 Vladimir SobotkaBUF | 22 | 13:53 | 0:38 | 1:23 | 2 | 8 |
 Nathan BeaulieuBUF | 18 | 13:49 | 0:46 | 1:56 | 2 | 3 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 17 | 13:43 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 3 | 1 |
 Christian DjoosWSH | 18 | 13:14 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 2 | 0 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 20 | 12:49 | 0:38 | 1:18 | 6 | 0 |
 Carl HagelinWSH | 17 | 12:33 | 0:44 | 1:29 | 3 | 3 |
 Danny O'ReganBUF | 15 | 11:56 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 0 | 0 |
 Andre BurakovskyWSH | 15 | 11:56 | 0:48 | 1:12 | 2 | 1 |
 Scott WilsonBUF | 17 | 11:52 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 0 | 4 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 15 | 11:48 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 2 | 4 |
 Brett ConnollyWSH | 14 | 11:18 | 0:48 | 1:15 | 2 | 1 |
 Chandler StephensonWSH | 13 | 10:50 | 0:50 | 1:29 | 3 | 1 |
 Jakub VranaWSH | 15 | 10:46 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 4 | 2 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 14 | 10:40 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 5 | 1 |