Fri, Mar 1, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Buffalo Sabres 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 65% of the time.
28%
57%
BUF winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25:54 | 0.05 | 51.9% | +51.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 24:38 | 0.02 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:38 | 0.10 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 22:47 | 0.63 | 65.7% | +25.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 22:13 | 0.38 | 55.5% | +51.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 21:20 | 0.89 | 77.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:19 | 0.21 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:46 | 0.12 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 17:21 | 0.42 | 52.2% | +25.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:12 | 0.20 | 78.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.11 | 82.2% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:24 | 0.14 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 13:42 | 0.40 | 82.2% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:31 | 0.11 | 46.2% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:02 | 0.03 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:28 | 0.10 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:25 | 0.00 | 11.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:42 | 0.00 | 11.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 2.97 | −1.0 | 63:48 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 26:22 | 0.02 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 25:16 | 0.34 | 51.2% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 24:45 | 0.23 | 47.6% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 22:04 | 0.09 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:24 | 0.02 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 20:16 | 0.63 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:09 | 0.26 | 41.0% | +40.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:01 | 0.00 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 19:45 | 0.14 | 57.4% | +57.8 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 14:44 | 0.39 | 56.3% | +110.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:19 | 0.00 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:09 | 0.07 | 57.8% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:03 | 0.58 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:59 | 0.00 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:55 | 0.00 | 29.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:48 | 0.00 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:23 | 0.20 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:15 | 0.00 | 38.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 44 | 41 | 3 | .932 | 3.91 | +0.9 | 64:11 |