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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 1, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Buffalo Sabres 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 65% of the time.

BUF winsPIT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Malkin–Kessel–Aston-ReeseCrosby–Hornqvist–GuentzelBjugstad–McCann–SimonCullen–Wilson–BluegerJohnson–SchultzGudbranson–PetterssonTrotman–RiikolaJohnson–Pettersson
Skinner–Reinhart–Eichel2:020.09–0.089:390.65–0.421:150.03–0.0010:460.65–0.402:130.00–0.140:400.12–0.02
Okposo–Sheary–Rodrigues2:500.00–0.093:420.02–0.142:110.07–0.001:530.07–0.005:250.20–0.222:530.02–0.02
Wilson–Thompson–Mittelstadt4:090.25–0.400:570.00–0.123:230.10–0.320:470.30–0.071:390.00–0.193:260.25–0.464:100.40–0.38
Pominville–Larsson–Girgensons1:310.00–0.131:210.00–0.080:480.20–0.002:300.00–0.131:370.20–0.08
Okposo–Larsson–Rodrigues0:320.00–0.00
McCabe–Ristolainen3:460.09–0.073:550.16–0.153:100.04–0.451:060.30–0.074:570.25–0.144:220.00–0.133:150.33–0.50
Hunwick–Montour2:110.00–0.183:290.12–0.270:340.00–0.021:200.25–0.004:260.16–0.472:220.00–0.041:240.20–0.02
Bogosian–Dahlin2:450.00–0.172:150.15–0.011:510.00–0.000:520.00–0.002:270.03–0.022:570.00–0.172:000.00–0.00
Montour–Dahlin2:430.07–0.080:440.03–0.001:380.07–0.001:210.00–0.081:200.07–0.00
Hunwick–Bogosian1:290.00–0.400:380.00–0.120:310.02–0.000:380.00–0.191:330.00–0.46
Ristolainen–Dahlin1:130.07–0.001:050.03–0.121:400.10–0.001:040.00–0.12
Bogosian–Montour0:490.15–0.000:430.15–0.00
Ristolainen–Montour0:360.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Bogosian–McCabe0:530.00–0.121:040.00–0.12
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndEichel FReinhart FSkinner FOkposo FSheary FRodrigues FLarsson FGirgensons FPominville FWilson FMittelstadt FThompson FMcCabe DRistolainen DMontour DHunwick DBogosian DDahlin DUllmark GGuentzel FHornqvist FCrosby FKessel FMalkin FAston-Reese FSimon FMcCann FBjugstad FCullen FWilson FBlueger FSchultz DJohnson DPettersson DGudbranson DTrotman DRiikola DMurray G
BUFPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2926:220:552:3336
Justin SchultzPIT3525:540:441:2473
Jack EichelBUF3025:160:512:5636
Sam ReinhartBUF2524:450:592:5634
Marcus PetterssonPIT3224:380:461:3533
Jack JohnsonPIT3324:380:451:2563
Evgeni MalkinPIT2822:470:492:0450
Sidney CrosbyPIT3022:130:442:1963
Rasmus DahlinBUF2322:040:582:1664
Zach BogosianBUF2521:240:511:4456
Phil KesselPIT2821:200:461:4170
Erik GudbransonPIT2820:190:441:2244
Jeff SkinnerBUF2220:160:552:5632
Evan RodriguesBUF2820:090:431:1455
Jake McCabeBUF2320:010:521:3906
Brandon MontourBUF2719:450:441:1244
Jake GuentzelPIT2618:460:431:1761
Patric HornqvistPIT2517:210:421:0561
Jared McCannPIT2316:120:421:2163
Nick BjugstadPIT2415:430:391:0682
Zachary Aston-ReesePIT2215:240:421:1042
Conor ShearyBUF1914:440:471:1441
Matt HunwickBUF2114:190:411:2521
Dominik SimonPIT2013:420:411:1351
Kyle OkposoBUF1813:090:441:1633
Juuso RiikolaPIT1712:310:441:2530
Scott WilsonBUF1612:030:451:2520
Zach TrotmanPIT1612:020:451:1932
Casey MittelstadtBUF1611:590:451:2520
Johan LarssonBUF1611:550:451:21012
Tage ThompsonBUF1410:480:461:2520
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1310:230:481:5807
Matt CullenPIT138:280:391:0525
Teddy BluegerPIT128:250:421:0533
Garrett WilsonPIT106:420:401:0522
Jason PominvilleBUF75:150:451:2105