Mon, Mar 4, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Edmonton Oilers 4, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.
44%
9%
10%
38%
BUF winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 24:03 | 0.29 | 56.8% | +44.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:11 | 0.00 | 61.6% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:00 | 0.10 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 22:34 | 0.18 | 63.4% | +44.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:58 | 0.10 | 35.3% | +25.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 21:32 | 0.77 | 37.5% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:43 | 0.29 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:55 | 0.10 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:37 | 0.41 | 41.7% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:40 | 0.03 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:28 | 0.07 | 70.9% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:57 | 0.00 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:55 | 0.00 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:12 | 0.10 | 54.7% | +25.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:37 | 0.00 | 32.2% | +25.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:53 | 0.01 | 19.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 7:41 | 0.10 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:29 | 0.17 | 56.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 35 | 3 | .921 | 2.87 | −0.1 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 25:02 | 0.09 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 22:41 | 0.18 | 52.8% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:26 | 0.07 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 21:43 | 0.38 | 61.0% | +31.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:20 | 0.29 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:54 | 0.34 | 58.2% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:54 | 0.07 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.15 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:12 | 0.26 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:14 | 0.23 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:33 | 0.01 | 84.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:32 | 0.01 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14:29 | 0.33 | 54.8% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:37 | 0.15 | 53.2% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:06 | 0.00 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:43 | 0.10 | 54.8% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:59 | 0.20 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:59 | 0.01 | 48.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 20 | 16 | 4 | .800 | 1.39 | −2.6 | 40:00 | |
| – | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.61 | +0.6 | 18:03 |