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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 30, 2019·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Ottawa Senators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tavares–Hyman–MarnerJohnsson–Nylander–MatthewsMarleau–Kadri–KapanenEnnis–Brown–GauthierEnnis–Kadri–BrownHainsey–RiellyMuzzin–ZaitsevMarincin–DermottMuzzin–DermottRielly–DermottMuzzin–Rielly
Gibbons–White–Tkachuk0:380.02–0.007:100.08–0.470:310.10–0.133:230.00–0.262:130.05–0.012:190.14–0.321:200.00–0.00
Smith–Pageau–Veronneau7:440.08–0.301:450.00–0.545:010.08–0.160:380.00–0.03
Paajarvi–Lindberg–Duclair1:070.08–0.054:240.18–0.190:550.00–0.001:110.02–0.001:200.00–0.002:550.16–0.190:320.00–0.050:450.08–0.00
Ryan–Tierney–Balcers0:460.00–0.122:420.02–0.062:240.04–0.043:330.05–0.091:130.01–0.130:520.00–0.00
Ryan–Smith–Pageau2:140.26–0.020:450.00–0.000:360.00–0.001:340.26–0.00
Paajarvi–Lindberg–Gibbons0:360.15–0.000:410.15–0.00
DeMelo–Chabot1:490.00–0.170:520.04–0.078:390.17–0.261:310.11–0.011:070.00–0.123:270.01–0.054:110.00–0.335:540.32–0.260:330.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Ceci–Wolanin1:530.30–0.109:120.04–0.491:480.32–0.150:370.00–0.004:410.02–0.302:520.04–0.012:120.10–0.272:330.30–0.141:240.20–0.010:510.00–0.00
Harpur–Jaros8:460.10–0.330:470.15–0.051:500.04–0.035:200.19–0.674:060.10–0.081:000.00–0.010:410.00–0.041:000.00–0.08
Ceci–Harpur1:110.00–0.010:530.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndVeronneau FSmith FPageau FTkachuk FGibbons FWhite FDuclair FLindberg FPaajarvi FRyan FBalcers FTierney FHarpur DJaros DCeci DWolanin DDeMelo DChabot DAnderson GHyman FMarner FTavares FJohnsson FNylander FMatthews FMarleau FKadri FKapanen FBrown FGauthier FEnnis FHainsey DRielly DMuzzin DZaitsev DDermott DMarincin DSparks G
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR2725:230:561:5170
Thomas ChabotOTT2923:400:491:4954
Cody CeciOTT2923:110:481:3218
Jake MuzzinTOR2622:370:521:4102
Mitch MarnerTOR2622:180:511:1443
Zach HymanTOR2520:360:491:2834
Ron HainseyTOR2520:340:491:2532
John TavaresTOR2320:330:542:0040
Dylan DeMeloOTT2719:590:441:2633
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT3019:560:401:16212
Ben HarpurOTT2918:470:391:1006
Auston MatthewsTOR2318:160:481:3930
Brady TkachukOTT2417:540:451:3924
Zack SmithOTT2617:530:411:4208
Nazem KadriTOR2217:510:491:1781
Colin WhiteOTT2417:430:441:2214
Travis DermottTOR2117:430:511:4170
Christian WolaninOTT2417:300:441:3225
Nikita ZaitsevTOR2316:470:441:1924
William NylanderTOR2216:080:441:0740
Christian JarosOTT2515:090:361:1204
Kasperi KapanenTOR2015:010:451:1752
Andreas JohnssonTOR2114:540:431:1340
Patrick MarleauTOR1914:240:451:1862
Brian GibbonsOTT2314:050:370:5910
Magnus PaajarviOTT2114:010:401:0815
Bobby RyanOTT1913:530:441:4032
Chris TierneyOTT1913:080:411:2633
Anthony DuclairOTT1612:420:481:4921
Oscar LindbergOTT2012:300:381:2916
Martin MarincinTOR1912:290:391:0443
Max VeronneauOTT1812:270:421:1313
Rudolfs BalcersOTT1710:520:381:0030
Connor BrownTOR148:180:361:1010
Tyler EnnisTOR106:270:391:0110
Frederik GauthierTOR105:210:320:4700