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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 4, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 78% of the time.

BUF winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:41Shot by Tierney, saved by Hutton
  3. P1 1:56Shot by Duclair, saved by Hutton
  4. P1 2:03Goal by Duclair (Ceci, Balcers)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Wilson, Sheary, Nelson, Mittelstadt, Pilut · OTT Ceci, Tierney, Duclair, Wolanin, Balcers

  5. P1 2:42Shot by Boedker, saved by Hutton
  6. P1 3:28Shot by Reinhart, saved by Daccord
  7. P1 3:30Shot by Reinhart, saved by Daccord
  8. P1 3:34Shot by Skinner, saved by Daccord
  9. P1 5:51Shot by Larsson, saved by Daccord
  10. P1 6:19Shot by Chabot, saved by Hutton
  11. P1 6:59Shot by Olofsson, saved by Daccord
  12. P1 8:02Balcers: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Montour · OTT DeMelo, Tierney, Duclair, Chabot, Balcers

  13. P1 8:07Shot by Eichel, saved by Daccord5v4
  14. P1 8:40Goal by Olofsson (Dahlin, Eichel)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin · OTT Smith, Paajarvi, Ceci, Chabot

  15. P1 9:09Shot by Boedker, saved by Hutton
  16. P1 9:10Goal by Pageau (Boedker, Veronneau)+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Wilson, Ristolainen, Sheary, Mittelstadt, Dahlin · OTT Boedker, Pageau, Ceci, Wolanin, Veronneau

  17. P1 9:24Shot by Girgensons, saved by Daccord
  18. P1 10:33Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Daccord
  19. P1 10:42Shot by Nelson, saved by Daccord
  20. P1 12:42Shot by Girgensons, saved by Daccord
  21. P1 13:22Montour: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Skinner, McCabe, Montour, Rodrigues · OTT Gibbons, Ceci, Englund, White, Tkachuk

  22. P1 13:48Shot by Chabot, saved by Hutton4v5
  23. P1 14:37Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Hutton4v5
  24. P1 18:00Shot by Balcers, saved by Hutton
  25. P1 18:06Shot by Wolanin, saved by Hutton
  26. P1 18:39Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Hutton
  27. P1 19:06Shot by Sheary, saved by Daccord
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:31Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Hutton
  31. P2 2:28Skinner: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, McCabe, Sheary, Montour, Mittelstadt · OTT Tierney, Duclair, Englund, Jaros, Balcers

  32. P2 2:32Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Daccord4v5
  33. P2 3:45Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Daccord4v5
  34. P2 4:47Shot by Montour, saved by Daccord
  35. P2 4:52DeMelo: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Wilson, Sheary, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Pilut · OTT Smith, Paajarvi, Lindberg, DeMelo, Chabot

  36. P2 6:12Goal by Okposo (Sheary, Ristolainen)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Okposo, Ristolainen, Sheary, Mittelstadt · OTT Gibbons, Chabot, Jaros, Balcers

  37. P2 6:56Shot by Montour, saved by Daccord
  38. P2 8:26Goal by Reinhart (Eichel)+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Nelson, Pilut · OTT Tierney, Chabot, Jaros, Balcers, Veronneau

  39. P2 9:39Shot by Smith, saved by Hutton
  40. P2 10:34Shot by Ceci, saved by Hutton
  41. P2 11:50Shot by Pilut, saved by Daccord
  42. P2 11:50Eichel: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Nelson, Pilut · OTT Boedker, Gibbons, DeMelo, White, Chabot

  43. P2 11:58Shot by Pageau, saved by Hutton4v5
  44. P2 15:01Shot by Lindberg, saved by Hutton
  45. P2 15:35Chabot: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Skinner, McCabe, Montour, Rodrigues · OTT Gibbons, DeMelo, White, Chabot, Tkachuk

  46. P2 15:55Reinhart: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin · OTT Smith, Paajarvi, Ceci, Englund

  47. P2 16:19Shot by Eichel, saved by Daccord4v4
  48. P2 16:22Shot by Olofsson, saved by Daccord4v4
  49. P2 18:19Shot by Larsson, saved by Daccord
  50. P2 19:13Shot by Dahlin, saved by Daccord
  51. P2 19:51Shot by Olofsson, saved by Daccord
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:28Shot by McCabe, saved by Daccord
  55. P3 0:45Shot by Montour, saved by Daccord
  56. P3 2:31Shot by Ceci, saved by Hutton
  57. P3 2:56Shot by Pominville, saved by Daccord
  58. P3 3:28Shot by Montour, saved by Daccord
  59. P3 4:39Shot by Gibbons, saved by Hutton
  60. P3 6:59Shot by Girgensons, saved by Daccord
  61. P3 7:21Shot by Nelson, saved by Daccord
  62. P3 8:25Shot by Okposo, saved by Daccord
  63. P3 8:45Shot by Wilson, saved by Daccord
  64. P3 9:55Shot by Pilut, saved by Daccord
  65. P3 10:04Shot by White, saved by Hutton
  66. P3 11:03Shot by Olofsson, saved by Daccord
  67. P3 11:06Goal by Eichel (Olofsson, Reinhart)+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin · OTT Ceci, Tierney, Wolanin, Balcers, Veronneau

  68. P3 11:18Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Daccord
  69. P3 11:53Shot by Okposo, saved by Daccord
  70. P3 12:57Goal by Pominville, unassisted+2 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Montour · OTT Gibbons, DeMelo, Englund, White, Tkachuk

  71. P3 13:35Shot by Pageau, saved by Hutton
  72. P3 14:50Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Hutton
  73. P3 15:47Shot by Sheary, saved by Daccord
  74. P3 18:06Shot by Englund, saved by Hutton
  75. P3 18:33Shot by Reinhart, saved by Daccord
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final