Thu, Apr 4, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 78% of the time.
71%
9%
13%
BUF winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gibbons–White–Tkachuk | Smith–Paajarvi–Lindberg | Boedker–Pageau–Veronneau | Tierney–Duclair–Balcers | Pageau–Duclair–Tkachuk | Lindberg–Gibbons–Tierney | DeMelo–Chabot | Ceci–Wolanin | Ceci–Englund | Englund–Jaros | Ceci–Chabot | DeMelo–Englund | DeMelo–Wolanin | Chabot–Jaros | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinhart–Olofsson–Eichel | 2:570.13–0.03 | 2:050.01–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:480.03–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.06 | 4:110.09–0.03 | 5:530.68–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.01 | 0:580.00–0.05 | 0:410.17–0.00 | ||||
| Pominville–Larsson–Girgensons | 2:490.07–0.00 | 2:050.09–0.07 | 3:340.15–0.02 | 0:320.00–0.01 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 3:590.16–0.05 | 2:180.14–0.01 | 1:060.01–0.01 | 1:100.01–0.04 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 1:040.01–0.02 | 0:350.11–0.00 | 0:420.04–0.00 | |
| Okposo–Skinner–Rodrigues | 2:340.08–0.04 | 2:390.03–0.12 | 1:100.07–0.02 | 2:200.04–0.07 | 4:290.22–0.03 | 3:050.00–0.10 | 0:450.00–0.05 | 0:510.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Wilson–Sheary–Mittelstadt | 0:500.02–0.01 | 1:060.09–0.00 | 1:560.00–0.25 | 1:190.00–0.23 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 2:190.11–0.03 | 1:480.00–0.47 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:360.14–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||
| McCabe–Montour | 5:000.06–0.03 | 2:020.09–0.04 | 3:270.05–0.01 | 3:390.01–0.07 | 5:360.07–0.01 | 4:100.06–0.10 | 1:180.15–0.03 | 2:230.01–0.04 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:030.01–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 0:510.06–0.00 | ||
| Ristolainen–Dahlin | 2:520.15–0.04 | 3:020.07–0.12 | 2:550.12–0.27 | 1:110.03–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.03 | 5:490.18–0.09 | 5:280.67–0.24 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.07 | 0:390.11–0.00 | |||
| Nelson–Pilut | 1:170.05–0.00 | 2:420.03–0.04 | 1:010.00–0.01 | 1:080.04–0.23 | 1:480.00–0.07 | 2:510.15–0.04 | 2:380.01–0.24 | 1:130.00–0.01 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:570.17–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.01 | 0:410.17–0.00 | ||
| Nelson–Dahlin | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:420.09–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Ristolainen–Pilut | 1:190.06–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 31 | 27:45 | 0:54 | 2:30 | 9 | 5 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 32 | 25:08 | 0:47 | 1:08 | 1 | 6 |
 Dylan DeMeloOTT | 32 | 24:38 | 0:46 | 1:34 | 9 | 4 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 27 | 23:41 | 0:53 | 1:54 | 2 | 6 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 24 | 22:41 | 0:57 | 1:57 | 0 | 4 |
 Christian WolaninOTT | 24 | 21:26 | 0:54 | 1:47 | 1 | 2 |
 Brandon MontourBUF | 25 | 21:14 | 0:51 | 1:38 | 0 | 2 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 22 | 21:12 | 0:58 | 1:57 | 5 | 1 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 22 | 20:05 | 0:55 | 1:18 | 6 | 0 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 22 | 19:10 | 0:52 | 1:21 | 3 | 0 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 21 | 18:24 | 0:53 | 1:35 | 5 | 3 |
 Colin WhiteOTT | 24 | 18:23 | 0:46 | 1:36 | 2 | 1 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 21 | 17:54 | 0:51 | 1:23 | 0 | 6 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 20 | 17:28 | 0:52 | 1:24 | 7 | 0 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 20 | 17:02 | 0:51 | 1:18 | 6 | 0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 20 | 16:45 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 0 | 6 |
 Casey NelsonBUF | 21 | 15:32 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 3 | 3 |
 Chris TierneyOTT | 20 | 15:17 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 3 | 3 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 22 | 15:05 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 2 | 7 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 20 | 14:54 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 5 | 1 |
 Oscar LindbergOTT | 20 | 14:27 | 0:43 | 1:17 | 3 | 6 |
 Anthony DuclairOTT | 19 | 14:22 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 3 | 0 |
 Brian GibbonsOTT | 21 | 14:14 | 0:41 | 1:27 | 3 | 0 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 17 | 14:11 | 0:50 | 1:19 | 0 | 4 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 18 | 13:56 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 2 | 1 |
 Magnus PaajarviOTT | 23 | 13:38 | 0:36 | 1:05 | 3 | 8 |
 Lawrence PilutBUF | 20 | 13:11 | 0:40 | 1:04 | 5 | 4 |
 Mikkel BoedkerOTT | 13 | 12:56 | 1:00 | 2:30 | 2 | 1 |
 Andreas EnglundOTT | 21 | 12:36 | 0:36 | 1:10 | 2 | 1 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 15 | 11:29 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 2 | 1 |
 Max VeronneauOTT | 13 | 11:20 | 0:52 | 1:23 | 2 | 0 |
 Rudolfs BalcersOTT | 16 | 11:07 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 2 | 1 |
 Conor ShearyBUF | 16 | 10:48 | 0:41 | 1:09 | 5 | 1 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 16 | 10:45 | 0:40 | 1:09 | 5 | 1 |
 Scott WilsonBUF | 14 | 9:18 | 0:40 | 0:58 | 5 | 1 |
 Christian JarosOTT | 9 | 6:06 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 0 | 0 |