Thu, Apr 4, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 78% of the time.
71%
9%
13%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 27:45 | 0.08 | 17.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 25:08 | 0.02 | 34.9% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 24:38 | 0.05 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:26 | 0.03 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:10 | 0.06 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:24 | 0.27 | 31.8% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:23 | 0.04 | 22.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.10 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.07 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:27 | 0.05 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:22 | 0.20 | 40.0% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:14 | 0.01 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:38 | 0.07 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:56 | 0.02 | 41.1% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:36 | 0.01 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 11:20 | 0.03 | 27.6% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 11:07 | 0.04 | 31.7% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:06 | 0.00 | 22.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 40 | 35 | 5 | .875 | 2.68 | −2.3 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:41 | 0.10 | 68.3% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:41 | 0.02 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 21:14 | 0.08 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:12 | 0.03 | 70.2% | +17.4 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 20:05 | 0.34 | 89.8% | +51.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:54 | 0.18 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 17:28 | 0.35 | 89.5% | +29.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 17:02 | 0.48 | 89.4% | +34.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:45 | 0.19 | 78.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.04 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:54 | 0.19 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:11 | 0.07 | 78.9% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.01 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 | 0.03 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:29 | 0.20 | 53.6% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 10:48 | 0.31 | 42.7% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:45 | 0.00 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:18 | 0.07 | 31.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 1.15 | −0.8 | 60:00 |