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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 12, 2019·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Ottawa Senators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 82% of the time.

OTT winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stamkos–Kucherov–PointKillorn–Joseph–CirelliKillorn–Palat–CirelliJohnson–Palat–GourdeStamkos–Kucherov–CirelliJohnson–Verhaeghe–JosephJohnson–Gourde–JosephJohnson–Palat–VerhaegheMcDonagh–CernakHedman–SergachevCoburn–ShattenkirkShattenkirk–HedmanHedman–Cernak
Ennis–White–Tkachuk1:230.15–0.211:280.00–0.002:090.02–0.001:310.12–0.000:380.07–0.000:300.00–0.014:230.20–0.042:530.03–0.020:550.15–0.00
Ryan–Tierney–Duclair1:550.00–0.071:080.05–0.000:470.00–0.350:490.02–0.002:020.05–0.051:570.25–0.361:300.02–0.02
Anisimov–Namestnikov–Brown2:270.36–0.000:400.00–0.000:490.00–0.001:010.00–0.002:430.04–0.001:090.28–0.000:300.08–0.00
Pageau–Namestnikov–Brown3:380.44–0.080:570.00–0.001:530.40–0.07
Pageau–Sabourin–Abramov
Namestnikov–Brown–White0:460.01–0.000:330.01–0.00
Chabot–Zaitsev7:340.43–0.411:410.00–0.011:270.00–0.001:310.17–0.001:490.00–0.006:550.18–0.083:050.09–0.003:280.31–0.100:440.08–0.00
Borowiecki–DeMelo3:020.53–0.011:000.00–0.021:110.00–0.000:390.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:570.07–0.001:050.07–0.003:290.38–0.043:330.53–0.131:150.00–0.01
Hainsey–Brannstrom1:180.00–0.051:340.02–0.000:470.00–0.350:300.02–0.001:110.00–0.012:280.01–0.052:390.01–0.371:340.12–0.35
Hainsey–Chabot0:550.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTkachuk FWhite FEnnis FBrown FAnisimov FNamestnikov FRyan FDuclair FTierney FSabourin FAbramov FPageau FDeMelo DBorowiecki DZaitsev DChabot DBrannstrom DHainsey DAnderson GKillorn FPalat FCirelli FPoint FKucherov FStamkos FJoseph FJohnson FGourde FWitkowski FMaroon FVerhaeghe FHedman DSergachev DCernak DMcDonagh DShattenkirk DCoburn DMcElhinney G
OTTTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas ChabotOTT2526:201:032:5442
Victor HedmanTBL2524:470:592:4051
Nikita ZaitsevOTT2723:330:521:5824
Nikita KucherovTBL1923:011:132:4061
Vladislav NamestnikovOTT2821:470:471:2505
Steven StamkosTBL2221:170:581:5064
Connor BrownOTT2920:590:431:1018
Mikhail SergachevTBL2420:190:511:4020
Ryan McDonaghTBL2219:520:542:1415
Erik CernakTBL2419:390:491:4315
Kevin ShattenkirkTBL2319:190:501:5062
Brayden PointTBL1919:011:001:5381
Brady TkachukOTT2518:150:441:5271
Dylan DeMeloOTT2417:540:451:3924
Tyler EnnisOTT2417:420:441:5871
Colin WhiteOTT2517:400:421:5371
Anthony DuclairOTT2517:310:422:2432
Ron HainseyOTT2216:550:461:3712
Chris TierneyOTT2616:510:391:0725
Mark BorowieckiOTT2416:450:421:3924
Anthony CirelliTBL2316:450:441:3135
Yanni GourdeTBL1916:240:521:3222
Alex KillornTBL2216:200:451:2832
Tyler JohnsonTBL1815:200:511:1432
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2314:150:371:1904
Bobby RyanOTT1913:360:431:3612
Erik BrannstromOTT2213:360:371:1621
Patrick MaroonTBL1412:590:562:2130
Braydon CoburnTBL1712:220:441:2262
Artem AnisimovOTT1611:380:442:0612
Mathieu JosephTBL1610:170:391:0423
Ondrej PalatTBL1510:020:401:2830
Carter VerhaegheTBL149:250:401:1611
Luke WitkowskiTBL117:060:391:1400
Scott SabourinOTT63:260:340:5300
Vitaly AbramovOTT53:170:391:0000