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Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 25, 2019·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 2, Detroit Red Wings 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 61% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Okposo–Larsson–GirgensonsSobotka–Johansson–SkinnerReinhart–Olofsson–EichelSheary–Rodrigues–MittelstadtMcCabe–RistolainenMiller–GilmourJokiharju–DahlinMiller–DahlinGilmour–JokiharjuMiller–RistolainenRistolainen–JokiharjuGilmour–Ristolainen
Helm–Bertuzzi–Larkin1:030.06–0.130:310.00–0.007:260.43–0.301:000.03–0.004:530.08–0.022:420.09–0.051:480.16–0.231:150.06–0.131:100.25–0.00
Filppula–Athanasiou–Mantha4:190.17–0.004:590.16–0.040:430.00–0.000:380.00–0.004:380.34–0.021:470.00–0.021:530.00–0.001:450.00–0.000:520.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
de la Rose–Ehn–Smith2:390.04–0.111:410.07–0.001:300.00–0.140:530.07–0.002:460.00–0.071:100.00–0.000:360.04–0.000:390.00–0.11
Nielsen–Svechnikov–Hirose1:370.00–0.001:170.36–0.041:510.00–0.020:380.00–0.031:250.00–0.001:530.00–0.060:480.00–0.00
Bertuzzi–Larkin–Hirose
Bertuzzi–Mantha–Larkin0:300.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Green–Cholowski5:130.17–0.132:530.17–0.001:100.00–0.233:420.03–0.264:210.18–0.325:110.08–0.083:280.10–0.230:530.06–0.130:340.06–0.00
Nemeth–Hronek1:350.00–0.077:030.43–0.071:170.00–0.003:120.04–0.023:120.02–0.052:350.16–0.080:460.00–0.000:400.00–0.001:120.25–0.000:500.00–0.00
Daley–Bowey4:320.23–0.113:460.04–0.081:520.00–0.033:080.17–0.021:470.00–0.033:030.08–0.060:590.00–0.001:160.04–0.000:460.01–0.11
Green–Hronek0:390.00–0.00
Nemeth–Bowey0:410.00–0.000:390.05–0.00
Cholowski–Hronek0:450.36–0.000:350.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMantha FFilppula FAthanasiou FHelm FBertuzzi FLarkin FSvechnikov FHirose FNielsen Fde la Rose FSmith FEhn FCholowski DGreen DHronek DNemeth DDaley DBowey DHoward GSobotka FSkinner FJohansson FEichel FReinhart FOlofsson FOkposo FLarsson FGirgensons FMittelstadt FSheary FRodrigues FMcCabe DRistolainen DJokiharju DDahlin DMiller DGilmour DUllmark G
DETBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2426:011:052:1417
Filip HronekDET2323:581:033:2844
Mike GreenDET2222:151:014:0320
Dylan LarkinDET2321:590:573:1334
Tyler BertuzziDET1921:171:073:1831
Dennis CholowskiDET2220:430:572:4330
Colin MillerBUF2320:090:531:4720
Patrik NemethDET2219:440:541:5834
Anthony ManthaDET1819:321:053:2160
Valtteri FilppulaDET2019:190:581:4751
Andreas AthanasiouDET1818:291:022:2850
Rasmus DahlinBUF1918:250:581:5622
Jack EichelBUF2018:160:552:3242
Jake McCabeBUF1918:150:582:1407
John GilmourBUF2217:280:481:1810
Jeff SkinnerBUF1916:590:541:5231
Johan LarssonBUF2116:570:481:1316
Sam ReinhartBUF1916:510:532:3243
Marcus JohanssonBUF2316:310:431:3322
Madison BoweyDET1916:190:521:3111
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2116:040:461:1335
Victor OlofssonBUF1715:270:552:3733
Henri JokiharjuBUF1915:040:481:1121
Vladimir SobotkaBUF2114:470:421:1603
Trevor DaleyDET1914:310:461:3120
Darren HelmDET1814:090:471:1331
Kyle OkposoBUF1612:350:471:1313
Conor ShearyBUF1412:170:531:4620
Frans NielsenDET1511:570:481:2901
Taro HiroseDET1411:420:501:3800
Jacob de la RoseDET1511:380:471:1922
Casey MittelstadtBUF1411:250:491:3320
Christoffer EhnDET1311:180:521:2721
Givani SmithDET1311:010:511:3040
Evan RodriguesBUF1410:290:451:0310
Evgeny SvechnikovDET117:170:400:5600