Sat, Oct 26, 2019·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Montréal Canadiens 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 72% of the time.
65%
20%
MTL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 24:37 | 0.06 | 16.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:15 | 0.00 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 22:11 | 0.24 | 19.5% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:48 | 0.05 | 56.0% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:57 | 0.15 | 64.2% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:50 | 0.28 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:38 | 0.25 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:33 | 0.19 | 42.3% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.15 | 33.5% | +13.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 16:14 | 0.49 | 62.1% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.00 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.03 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:15 | 0.12 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:01 | 0.23 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:54 | 0.04 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:25 | 0.00 | 23.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:57 | 0.04 | 13.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:16 | 0.00 | 11.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 38 | 33 | 5 | .868 | 3.77 | −1.2 | 60:00 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:58 | 0.04 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:36 | 0.02 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 22:33 | 0.03 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:22 | 0.05 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:17 | 0.74 | 54.5% | +14.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:50 | 0.45 | 57.6% | +28.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:06 | 0.29 | 56.8% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:59 | 0.18 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 17:49 | 0.27 | 81.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 16:51 | 0.76 | 65.2% | +34.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:39 | 0.10 | 57.5% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:48 | 0.11 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:17 | 0.07 | 54.0% | +3.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:01 | 0.02 | 79.2% | +3.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:25 | 0.23 | 44.8% | +3.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:47 | 0.05 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:22 | 0.30 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:03 | 0.05 | 25.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 2.32 | +0.3 | 59:17 |