Wed, Nov 27, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Calgary Flames 3, Buffalo Sabres 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 72% of the time.
66%
8%
19%
BUF winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:32 | 0.07 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:44 | 0.03 | 62.7% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:55 | 0.01 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 21:04 | 0.02 | 60.6% | +65.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:41 | 0.67 | 46.6% | +25.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:33 | 0.08 | 46.6% | +70.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:55 | 0.21 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:35 | 0.24 | 43.3% | +44.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:25 | 0.00 | 33.7% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:11 | 0.18 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:19 | 0.02 | 10.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:13 | 0.15 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:31 | 0.09 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:05 | 0.00 | 65.6% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:15 | 0.12 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:58 | 0.09 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:40 | 0.12 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:15 | 0.00 | 10.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 3.52 | +1.5 | 61:17 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:35 | 0.05 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 22:55 | 0.52 | 50.7% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:38 | 0.36 | 46.5% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:55 | 0.02 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:22 | 0.04 | 49.3% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:17 | 0.04 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:54 | 0.06 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:57 | 0.13 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:43 | 0.53 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:42 | 0.29 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:26 | 0.05 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:35 | 0.00 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:06 | 0.56 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:34 | 0.02 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:12 | 0.27 | 53.6% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:55 | 0.25 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:40 | 0.31 | 52.5% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:53 | 0.00 | 55.5% | 0.0 |
| O | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.08 | −0.9 | 60:49 |