Wed, Nov 27, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Calgary Flames 3, Buffalo Sabres 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 72% of the time.
66%
8%
19%
BUF winsCGY wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Backlund–Mangiapane–Tkachuk | Gaudreau–Lindholm–Monahan | Lucic–Ryan–Dube | Frolik–Rieder–Jankowski | Frolik–Backlund–Tkachuk | Lucic–Frolik–Ryan | Hanifin–Andersson | Giordano–Brodie | Stone–Kylington | Stone–Hanifin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinhart–Olofsson–Eichel | 3:500.09–0.06 | 5:020.10–0.21 | 1:270.00–0.00 | 1:380.06–0.03 | 0:560.00–0.01 | 7:350.16–0.16 | 4:180.08–0.15 | 2:170.02–0.00 | ||
| Larsson–Skinner–Sheary | 6:300.67–0.15 | 3:160.01–0.27 | 2:080.05–0.01 | 5:360.04–0.21 | 5:570.10–0.45 | 1:330.73–0.00 | ||||
| Johansson–Vesey–Mittelstadt | 1:230.06–0.05 | 3:550.02–0.08 | 2:050.34–0.07 | 2:280.10–0.20 | 2:350.08–0.08 | 3:450.06–0.21 | 2:480.36–0.09 | 1:090.01–0.02 | ||
| Girgensons–Dea–Asplund | 1:190.00–0.20 | 1:550.25–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:500.25–0.20 | 2:530.00–0.00 | |||
| Scandella–Ristolainen | 6:400.26–0.25 | 3:350.11–0.14 | 2:170.01–0.11 | 1:420.05–0.01 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 8:150.15–0.27 | 5:250.08–0.19 | 2:140.35–0.04 | 0:450.01–0.02 | |
| McCabe–Jokiharju | 3:380.54–0.00 | 4:440.27–0.08 | 2:080.06–0.03 | 2:320.07–0.07 | 0:430.14–0.22 | 4:350.20–0.07 | 5:450.43–0.35 | 3:350.40–0.00 | 1:080.02–0.00 | |
| Bogosian–Montour | 3:330.10–0.20 | 2:110.00–0.02 | 4:160.34–0.23 | 2:500.07–0.20 | 4:520.13–0.10 | 4:270.03–0.47 | 3:490.35–0.09 | |||
| Montour–Jokiharju | 0:570.02–0.00 | |||||||||
| Bogosian–McCabe | 0:510.01–0.06 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Noah HanifinCGY | 26 | 25:32 | 0:59 | 2:20 | 4 | 7 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 25 | 24:35 | 0:59 | 1:37 | 7 | 6 |
 Mark GiordanoCGY | 28 | 23:44 | 0:51 | 1:35 | 1 | 6 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 25 | 22:55 | 0:55 | 2:39 | 9 | 1 |
 Rasmus AnderssonCGY | 24 | 21:55 | 0:55 | 1:54 | 3 | 5 |
 TJ BrodieCGY | 30 | 21:04 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 0 | 6 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 24 | 20:38 | 0:52 | 1:53 | 9 | 1 |
 Marco ScandellaBUF | 22 | 19:55 | 0:54 | 1:35 | 5 | 7 |
 Mikael BacklundCGY | 23 | 19:41 | 0:51 | 1:15 | 5 | 2 |
 Matthew TkachukCGY | 23 | 19:33 | 0:51 | 1:35 | 4 | 2 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 23 | 19:22 | 0:51 | 2:03 | 7 | 1 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 25 | 19:17 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 2 | 2 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 23 | 18:54 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 1 | 1 |
 Brandon MontourBUF | 24 | 17:57 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 4 | 1 |
 Andrew MangiapaneCGY | 21 | 17:55 | 0:51 | 1:15 | 5 | 2 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 19 | 17:43 | 0:56 | 1:35 | 2 | 3 |
 Marcus JohanssonBUF | 23 | 17:42 | 0:46 | 2:03 | 5 | 1 |
 Elias LindholmCGY | 23 | 17:35 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 2 | 8 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 22 | 17:26 | 0:48 | 1:35 | 0 | 7 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 21 | 16:35 | 0:47 | 1:10 | 2 | 1 |
 Sean MonahanCGY | 22 | 16:25 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 2 | 7 |
 Derek RyanCGY | 20 | 16:11 | 0:49 | 1:39 | 3 | 2 |
 Conor ShearyBUF | 18 | 16:06 | 0:54 | 1:35 | 1 | 3 |
 Michael StoneCGY | 18 | 15:19 | 0:51 | 1:48 | 0 | 3 |
 Johnny GaudreauCGY | 20 | 15:13 | 0:46 | 1:08 | 2 | 5 |
 Milan LucicCGY | 19 | 14:31 | 0:46 | 1:47 | 3 | 4 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 23 | 13:34 | 0:35 | 1:13 | 6 | 1 |
 Jimmy VeseyBUF | 22 | 13:12 | 0:36 | 1:06 | 5 | 1 |
 Michael FrolikCGY | 15 | 12:05 | 0:48 | 1:16 | 0 | 3 |
 Mark JankowskiCGY | 15 | 11:15 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 0 | 5 |
 Dillon DubeCGY | 14 | 10:58 | 0:47 | 1:39 | 2 | 2 |
 Tobias RiederCGY | 13 | 10:40 | 0:49 | 1:10 | 0 | 2 |
 Oliver KylingtonCGY | 13 | 10:15 | 0:47 | 1:48 | 0 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 12 | 9:55 | 0:50 | 1:11 | 0 | 3 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 12 | 8:40 | 0:43 | 1:03 | 0 | 1 |
 Jean-Sebastien DeaBUF | 8 | 5:53 | 0:44 | 1:07 | 0 | 1 |