Sat, Nov 30, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 58% of the time.
34%
9%
10%
48%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:46 | 0.13 | 67.2% | +27.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:03 | 0.24 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:49 | 0.24 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:17 | 0.11 | 43.9% | +27.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:17 | 0.22 | 58.9% | +27.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:06 | 0.02 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:28 | 0.35 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:25 | 0.22 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:53 | 0.00 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:49 | 0.17 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:23 | 0.01 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:16 | 0.07 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:13 | 0.28 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:08 | 0.03 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:06 | 0.20 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.01 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:27 | 0.00 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:32 | 0.20 | 33.7% | 0.0 |
| O | 43 | 41 | 2 | .953 | 2.14 | +0.1 | 61:41 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 23:42 | 0.10 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:54 | 0.08 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20:45 | 0.28 | 35.5% | +72.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:30 | 0.02 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:18 | 0.21 | 55.0% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:09 | 0.05 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:40 | 0.03 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:57 | 0.08 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17:40 | 0.53 | 53.9% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.10 | 47.6% | +55.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.02 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:12 | 0.03 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:37 | 0.09 | 41.5% | +55.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:48 | 0.05 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:07 | 0.19 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:23 | 0.13 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:25 | 0.12 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:13 | 0.04 | 63.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 29 | 1 | .967 | 2.51 | +1.5 | 61:27 |