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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 30, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 58% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Reinhart–Olofsson–EichelJohansson–Vesey–MittelstadtLarsson–Skinner–ShearyGirgensons–Vesey–AsplundLarsson–Girgensons–AsplundLarsson–Girgensons–VeseyBogosian–McCabeMiller–RistolainenScandella–JokiharjuMcCabe–MontourRistolainen–MontourBogosian–ScandellaMiller–JokiharjuMiller–Montour
Tavares–Hyman–Mikheyev8:250.11–0.412:000.00–0.220:380.00–0.003:040.04–0.000:560.00–0.001:360.05–0.131:110.06–0.002:020.00–0.253:360.04–0.23
Johnsson–Nylander–Matthews2:190.05–0.023:520.08–0.042:580.07–0.140:350.00–0.081:300.11–0.012:460.03–0.022:270.13–0.011:550.00–0.231:530.07–0.021:220.00–0.211:450.08–0.01
Kerfoot–Petan–Kapanen1:090.11–0.001:150.05–0.085:050.11–0.230:470.00–0.010:430.00–0.003:510.21–0.022:050.00–0.071:280.00–0.131:060.00–0.071:270.06–0.11
Gauthier–Engvall–Timashov0:470.04–0.002:200.02–0.180:440.00–0.000:360.00–0.001:010.14–0.001:410.04–0.000:490.00–0.18
Tavares–Petan–Kapanen1:000.00–0.080:450.00–0.06
Hyman–Matthews–Mikheyev0:370.00–0.010:530.00–0.07
Tavares–Hyman–Petan0:340.00–0.080:360.00–0.08
Hyman–Kerfoot–Mikheyev0:560.00–0.010:510.00–0.00
Rielly–Ceci11:180.26–0.521:490.00–0.024:270.08–0.090:350.11–0.002:270.05–0.202:500.07–0.202:020.00–0.252:390.04–0.040:390.00–0.00
Barrie–Dermott1:390.02–0.062:240.02–0.205:050.09–0.381:230.00–0.090:410.05–0.010:430.00–0.000:350.00–0.005:030.16–0.082:370.05–0.081:410.08–0.131:120.02–0.021:080.02–0.211:590.00–0.12
Muzzin–Holl1:140.00–0.075:050.15–0.055:390.15–0.000:440.00–0.000:300.00–0.003:020.00–0.092:280.07–0.001:420.08–0.002:410.00–0.032:010.10–0.001:000.00–0.00
Muzzin–Ceci1:010.00–0.010:510.00–0.00
Muzzin–Barrie0:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndHyman FMikheyev FTavares FMatthews FJohnsson FNylander FKerfoot FKapanen FPetan FEngvall FGauthier FTimashov FRielly DCeci DHoll DMuzzin DDermott DBarrie DAndersen GEichel FReinhart FOlofsson FVesey FMittelstadt FJohansson FLarsson FSheary FSkinner FAsplund FGirgensons FBogosian DMcCabe DScandella DJokiharju DRistolainen DMiller DMontour DHutton G
TORBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jack EichelBUF2723:460:532:2344
Morgan RiellyTOR2823:420:512:4236
Cody CeciTOR2522:540:551:4346
Victor OlofssonBUF2522:030:531:4053
Sam ReinhartBUF2621:490:501:5763
John TavaresTOR2420:450:521:3845
Jake MuzzinTOR2620:300:472:0825
Auston MatthewsTOR2220:180:551:5371
Zach HymanTOR2420:090:501:3537
Tyson BarrieTOR2319:400:511:2873
Rasmus RistolainenBUF2119:170:551:3863
Brandon MontourBUF1918:170:581:3532
Zach BogosianBUF1918:060:571:4234
Ilya MikheyevTOR2217:570:491:3537
William NylanderTOR2117:400:501:4771
Andreas JohnssonTOR2217:370:481:3871
Justin HollTOR2417:360:441:5615
Marcus JohanssonBUF2317:280:461:2945
Jimmy VeseyBUF2217:250:481:5333
Travis DermottTOR2217:120:471:3462
Johan LarssonBUF1916:530:531:3014
Jeff SkinnerBUF2116:490:481:2843
Colin MillerBUF1816:230:551:3132
Jake McCabeBUF2016:160:491:2034
Conor ShearyBUF1916:130:511:3622
Kasperi KapanenTOR1915:370:491:2132
Marco ScandellaBUF2015:080:451:4204
Casey MittelstadtBUF2015:060:451:4312
Henri JokiharjuBUF1714:570:531:4001
Nic PetanTOR1613:480:521:2131
Alexander KerfootTOR1613:070:491:1531
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF129:270:471:3022
Rasmus AsplundBUF118:320:471:2821
Frederik GauthierTOR168:230:310:5515
Pierre EngvallTOR157:250:300:5113
Dmytro TimashovTOR137:130:330:5713